Prep Baseball Report

Trackman Traits- Hitting: 2022 1B Matthew Williams (Warwick)


Brian Adorno
NY/PA Advanced Scout

Welcome to the hitting side of Trackman Traits! In this series we will spotlight one player each week who stood out during this 2020 season and take a deeper dive into their numbers and take a look at some that really stand out. Since the implementation of the Trackman technology to our showcases this summer we have been fortunate enough to have seen a great deal of talent come through the system. Today, we will be taking a look at the number three first baseman in Pennsylvania's 2022 class, Matthew Williams.

Before we get started, we'll go over and define some of the terminology being used in the piece. 

Exit Velocity-  this one's pretty simple but this metric measures the speed of the ball off the bat, measured in miles per hour (mph).

Distance- another simple one, this metric measures how far the ball traveled or would travel if it was not obstructed, measured in feet.

Launch Angle- measures the vertical angle of the ball as it leaves the bat. Positive numbers represent balls traveling upward off of the bat and negative numbers mean the ball is traveling downward off of the bat. 

Fly Ball %-  Percentage of fly balls hit during a given set of batted ball events. Trackman defines a fly ball as any batted ball with a launch angle between 25 degrees and 49.9 degrees

Line Drive%-  Percentage of line drives hit during a given set of batted ball events. Trackman defines a line drive as any batted ball with a launch angle between 10 degrees and 24.9 degrees.

Hard Hit%-  Percentage of batted balls with an exit velocity of 90 MPH or higher. 

Bat Speed- The speed of the sweet spot of the bat at impact, measured in MPH. The sweet spot is measured 6 inches from the tip of the bat. - Blast Motion

Rotational Acceleration- A measure of how quickly the hitter gets from launch position to being on plane. This is measured in G-Force (g).  - Blast Motion

 


Overview

We were lucky enough to get our eyes and technology on Williams at the 2020 PA State Games and the 2020 Northeast Futures Games where he was an offensive standout at both. The 2022 grad out of Warwick HS is a man amongst boys with his 6-foot-5, 225-pound advanced physical frame. He is nimble for his size and shows plenty of athleticism in his actions. He's got a sweet, simple swing from the right side that is able that was able to help him put up some gaudy numbers. 


 

TRACKMAN DATA ANALYSIS

For starters, Williams showed a peak exit velocity of 102.1 mph at the Pennsylvania State Games this summer. Any time we see a player get up over triple digits in BP, everybody notices a difference right away. The sound coming off his bat was something special, and he was consistently hitting the ball with authority, evident in his 94.43 average exit velocity and his 80% hard hit %. 

Let's take a look at some of the leaderboards from the 2020 PA State Games to see where Williams ranked in a loaded event. 

Rank Name State School Class Pos Exit Velocity (max)
1 Rafe Perich PA Northwestern Lehigh 2021 SS 103.1 mph
2 Michael Ciocco PA Peters Township 2021 1B 103.0 mph
3 Luke Zeisloft PA Central Columbia 2022 OF 102.6 mph
4 Matt Tankred PA Southern Lehigh 2022 RHP 102.2 mph
5 Justin Holmes PA Northwestern Lehigh 2022 OF 102.1 mph
6 Matthew Williams PA Warwick 2022 1B 102.1 mph
7 Louie Kegerreis PA Franklin Regional 2022 3B 102.0 mph
8 Andrew Kohl PA Central Bucks West 2021 OF 102.0 mph
9 Jimmy Kirk PA Malvern Prep 2021 1B 101.8 mph
10 Tyler Switalski PA Waynesburg Central 2021 LHP 101.7 mph

Rank Name State School Class Pos Exit Velocity (avg)
1 Andrew Kohl PA Central Bucks West 2021 OF 97.5 mph
2 Louie Kegerreis PA Franklin Regional 2022 3B 96.5 mph
3 Michael Ciocco PA Peters Township 2021 1B 96.1 mph
4 Matthew Williams PA Warwick 2022 1B 94.4 mph
5 Matt Tankred PA Southern Lehigh 2022 RHP 94.1 mph
6 Jack Lincoln PA Avon Grove 2021 3B 93.4 mph
7 Jack Malec PA Cathedral Prep 2021 1B 93.3 mph
8 Tyler Switalski PA Waynesburg Central 2021 LHP 93.3 mph
9 Daniel Kanagy PA East Juniata 2021 RHP 93.3 mph
10 Connor Booth PA Oxford Area 2022 C 92.9 mph

Rank Name State School Class Pos Distance (avg)
1 Michael Ciocco PA Peters Township 2021 1B 333 ft
2 Andrew Kingsbury PA Phoenixville 2022 RHP 328 ft
3 Tanner Singh PA Pine-Richland 2021 OF 322 ft
4 Maddix Dalena PA Montoursville 2022 1B 314 ft
5 Rafe Perich PA Northwestern Lehigh 2021 SS 313 ft
6 Colton Cornell PA Forest Hills 2022 3B 312 ft
7 Kyle Musser PA Manheim Township 2021 OF 309 ft
8 Drew Ripepi PA Peters Township 2022 3B 306 ft
9 Colin Marinpetro PA West Allegheny 2022 1B 303 ft
10 Matthew Williams PA Warwick 2022 1B 302 ft

Showing in the top 10 in these categories among the group of bats present in DuBois for the State Games is no small feat. Along with a high exit velocity, Williams also showed the ability to hit the ball a long way with his longest ball being hit 388 ft. His average distance during his round was 302 ft, showing that he has the ability to pound the ball and at least find some gaps. He did this by hitting a steady diet of fly balls and line drives, with 60% fly balls and 30% line drives. 

When a player hits the ball over 100 mph, their chance to succeed is usually pretty high. Whether you hit the ball on the ground, on a line, or in the air, balls batted over 100 mph have a way of finding holes. To take a look at the relationship between exit velocity and launch angle, we'll use one of my favorite tools, the Statcast Exit Velocity & Launch Angle Field Breakdown. This tool allows you to input an exit velocity and launch angle and it will generate a plot of all the times that exact combination happened in an MLB game and show the results of all of those specific batted ball events. To show the effect on balls hit over 100 mph, we'll look at balls hit at 102 mph, Williams' peak exit velocity and balls hit at 94 mph, Williams average exit velocity. For a launch angle, we'll go with 20 degrees, just below what Trackman considers a fly ball, but still a high line drive, because of Williams' distribution of fly balls and line drives during his round. 

94 mph exit velocity, 20 degree launch angle

102 mph exit velocity, 20 degree launch angle

As you can see, the 8 mph in exit velocity makes a huge difference. Balls hit at 94 mph with a 20 degree launch angle were good for a .277 batting average and were good for extra-bases just 18.3% of the time and have never resulted in a home run. When you get above that 100 mph barrier in exit velocity and jump to 102 mph like Williams did, the results become a lot better. With that 102 mph exit velocity and a 20 degree launch angle, that batting average jumped all the way to .615 with extra-bases coming 57.9 % of the time. The percentage of home runs also jumps from 0 to 8.9% when hit at 102 mph. Damage can be done when you hit the ball under 100 mph, but getting over triple digits seems to unlock a different level. 

Williams should have success at any level if he is able to continue to hit the ball as hard as he can. 102.1 mph is impressive, but not even Williams' highest of the summer. He registered a 104 mph exit velocity at the Futures Games this summer. For fun, we'll look at what those added two mph would do combined with a 20 degree launch angle.

104 mph exit velocity, 20 degree launch angle

Unsurprisingly, the results get even better. No matter your approach at the plate, whether you like to lift the ball in the air or like to pound line drives, hitting the ball harder is a good way to see better results. Let's get a deeper look into why Williams is able to hit the ball so hard. 

 

BLAST CONNECTION

Trackman does a great job showing the outcomes of players swings and their batted ball events. Its data is results based, the best numbers come when you get off your best swing and make your best contact. Blast Motion technology, also implemented at the same time this summer as the Trackman, tracks the swing data of a player and can shine a light into what a player does well in their swing. When paired with Trackman data, it can paint a more complete picture of a hitter and help explain why a player is able to hit the ball harder, farther, and more consistently than others. 

Two Blast Motion metrics that I like to look at are bat speed and hand speed. These two metrics are easy to confuse, but bat speed looks at the speed of the barrel and hand speed looks at the speed of the handle and are both measured at their peak speed during the swing. Higher bat speed can be achieved through a number of different ways, and Williams' long levers certainly help him generate some extra bat speed. Aside from just a player's physical profile, other Blast metrics such as hand speed can point to why some players have a higher bat speed. 

Unsurprisingly, these were two metrics that Williams was above average in. He showcased a peak bat speed of 78.5 mph, tops at the event. Following his trend of consistent big numbers, his average bat speed was 76.64 mph. He was remarkably consistent in swinging it very hard. His peak and average numbers both showcase his quick bat and that should help project well against increased velocity. 

Williams showed very quick hands, a reason why that bat speed is as high as it is. He peaked at a 24.6 mph hand speed and averaged a 22.81 mph hand speed, both advanced numbers pointing to a reason why he was able to swing it so well. In a game setting, higher hand speed and bat speed will allow you that extra split second to see the ball out of the pitchers hand and make later decision while still being able to catch up to increased velocity. 

CONCLUSION

When a player with the stature that Matt Williams has also shows the advanced bat speed and hand speed like he does, it's no wonder he was able to punish baseballs as frequently as he did. He did his best to stand out amongst a loaded group of bats at the 2020 PA State Games and it earned him a trip to the Futures Games, where he was able to put up even higher numbers. We will certainly be keeping an eye on the big fella during the upcoming 2021 season. 



UPCOMING EVENTS

SHOWCASE STATE DATE LOCATION
2021 Preseason All-State - South/Central PA 02/06 Iron Horse Sports Complex
Super 60 Pro Showcase NATIONAL 02/07 MOSH Performance Center
2021 Preseason All-State - Pittsburgh (3PM Session) PA 02/07 All American Fieldhouse
2021 Preseason All-State - Pittsburgh (9AM Session) PA 02/07 All American Fieldhouse
2021 Northeast ProCase (2021 Grads Only) PA 02/13 Liberty Sports Arena
2021 Preseason All-State - Erie PA 02/13 Erie Premier Sports
2021 Preseason All-State - North/Central PA 02/14 Liberty Sports Arena
2021 Preseason All-State - East (11AM Session) PA 02/27 Keystone State Baseball Academy
2021 Preseason All-State East (3PM Session) PA 02/27 Keystone State Baseball Academy
2021 JR PA State Games Trials - Central PA 03/06 Liberty Sports Arena
2021 JR PA State Games Trials - East PA 03/14 Keystone State Baseball Academy
2021 JR PA State Games Trials - West PA 03/14 All American Fieldhouse