2025 Top Prospect Games: Pitching Data Dive
June 16, 2023
On June 12th, the PBR Arizona staff hosted the 2025 Top Prospect Games at Milwaukee Brewers Complex in Phoenix, Arizona. This event featured around 67 prospects with tons of highly intriguing uncommitted players heading into their junior years and allowed our staff an opportunity to get an in-depth look at the players in attendance.
Earlier this week, we broke down the top measurable data performers from the event with our Statistical Analysis Now, we will take a further in-depth look at the top pitchers with the help of our tech partnerships, broken down by the categories down below:
For complete event results, click here.
To view upcoming event schedule, click here.
FASTBALL
MAX VELOCITY (MPH)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Velocity (max) |
1 | Ryan Caruso | AZ | Corona Del Sol | 2025 | RHP | 88.9 mph |
2 | Carter Brown | AZ | Cactus Shadows High School | 2025 | RHP | 88.1 mph |
3 | Ashton Higgins | AZ | NOTRE DAME PREPARATORY | 2025 | RHP | 87.5 mph |
4 | Brady Campbell | AZ | Pinnacle | 2025 | OF | 86.9 mph |
5 | Caleb Sweeney | AZ | Valley Christian | 2025 | LHP | 85.8 mph |
6 | J.T. Price | AZ | Centennial | 2025 | 3B | 85.6 mph |
7 | Ryan Jung | AZ | Pinnacle High School | 2025 | RHP | 85.4 mph |
8 | Cody Stoller | AZ | Sandra Day O'Connor | 2025 | RHP | 85.3 mph |
9 | Joseph Talas | AZ | Centennial | 2025 | 3B | 85.3 mph |
10 | Mickey Fox | AZ | Yuma Catholic | 2025 | LHP | 85.0 mph |
Max Fastball Velocity: This metric calculates the speed of the pitch as it’s released from the pitcher’s hand.
SPIN RATE (AVG)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Spin Rate (avg) |
1 | Ryan Caruso | AZ | Corona Del Sol | 2025 | RHP | 2381 rpm |
2 | Carter Brown | AZ | Cactus Shadows High School | 2025 | RHP | 2270 rpm |
3 | J.T. Price | AZ | Centennial | 2025 | 3B | 2254 rpm |
4 | Caleb Sweeney | AZ | Valley Christian | 2025 | LHP | 2190 rpm |
5 | Joseph Talas | AZ | Centennial | 2025 | 3B | 2185 rpm |
Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.
INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | IVB (avg) |
1 | Gabriel Esparza | AZ | Canyon View | 2025 | C | 20.1 in |
2 | Braden Marchese | AZ | Verrado | 2025 | CF | 18.6 in |
3 | Quinn Robbins | AZ | Horizon High School | 2025 | 1B | 18.4 in |
4 | Logan Gutterman | AZ | Highland High School | 2025 | LHP | 18.0 in |
5 | Kenny Wilsford | AZ | Queen Creek | 2025 | OF | 17.8 in |
Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiency. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of the vertical approach angle.
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
1 | Cody Stoller | AZ | Sandra Day O'Connor | 2025 | RHP | 15.6 |
2 | Ryan Jung | AZ | Pinnacle High School | 2025 | RHP | 14.7 |
3 | Jet Gonzalez | AZ | Higley | 2025 | OF | -13.9 |
4 | Sammy Skinner | AZ | Desert Vista High School | 2025 | 1B | -13.5 |
5 | Carter Daly | AZ | Sandra Day O'Connor | 2025 | RHP | 12.8 |
Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”
STRIKE ZONE RATE%
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
1 | Carter Daly | AZ | Sandra Day O'Connor | 2025 | RHP | 76 % |
2 | Ashton Higgins | AZ | NOTRE DAME PREPARATORY | 2025 | RHP | 72 % |
3 | Mickey Fox | AZ | Yuma Catholic | 2025 | LHP | 60 % |
^ | Luke Santarius | AZ | Chaparral High School | 2025 | 1B | 60 % |
4 | Caleb Sweeney | AZ | Valley Christian | 2025 | LHP | 55 % |
CURVEBALL
SPIN RATE (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Spin Rate (avg) |
1 | Mickey Fox | AZ | Yuma Catholic | 2025 | LHP | 2392 rpm |
2 | Caleb Sweeney | AZ | Valley Christian | 2025 | LHP | 2301 rpm |
3 | Adrian Sanderford | AZ | Prescott High School | 2025 | 1B | 2197 rpm |
4 | Carter Brown | AZ | Cactus Shadows High School | 2025 | RHP | 2154 rpm |
5 | J.T. Price | AZ | Centennial | 2025 | 3B | 2154 rpm |
INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | IVB (avg) |
1 | Carter Brown | AZ | Cactus Shadows High School | 2025 | RHP | -14.0 in |
2 | Braden Marchese | AZ | Verrado | 2025 | CF | -10.2 in |
3 | Cole Gomez | AZ | Desert Vista | 2025 | RHP | -9.3 in |
4 | Ashton Higgins | AZ | NOTRE DAME PREPARATORY | 2025 | RHP | -8.2 in |
5 | Kenny Wilsford | AZ | Queen Creek | 2025 | OF | -8.1 in |
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
1 | J.T. Price | AZ | Centennial | 2025 | 3B | -15.2 |
2 | Kenny Wilsford | AZ | Queen Creek | 2025 | OF | 14.0 |
3 | Brady Short | AZ | Chaparral | 2025 | LHP | 13.0 |
4 | Carter Brown | AZ | Cactus Shadows High School | 2025 | RHP | -12.6 |
5 | Adrian Sanderford | AZ | Prescott High School | 2025 | 1B | -12.1 |
STRIKE ZONE RATE%
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
1 | Ashton Higgins | AZ | NOTRE DAME PREPARATORY | 2025 | RHP | 100 % |
2 | Carter Brown | AZ | Cactus Shadows High School | 2025 | RHP | 80 % |
3 | Caleb Sweeney | AZ | Valley Christian | 2025 | LHP | 50 % |
4 | Adrian Sanderford | AZ | Prescott High School | 2025 | 1B | 33 % |
SLIDER
SPIN RATE (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Spin Rate (avg) |
1 | Ryan Caruso | AZ | Corona Del Sol | 2025 | RHP | 2492 |
2 | Carter Daly | AZ | Sandra Day O'Connor | 2025 | RHP | 2477 |
3 | Quinn Robbins | AZ | Horizon High School | 2025 | 1B | 2372 |
4 | Ryan Jung | AZ | Pinnacle High School | 2025 | RHP | 2371 |
5 | Noah Miller | AZ | Pusch Ridge Christian | 2025 | RHP | 2365 |
INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | IVB (avg) |
1 | Logan Gutterman | AZ | Highland High School | 2025 | LHP | 17.1 in |
2 | TRUMAN PARKER | AZ | Chaparral | 2025 | RHP | 15.3 in |
3 | Brady Short | AZ | Chaparral | 2025 | LHP | 14.8 in |
4 | Kenny Wilsford | AZ | Queen Creek | 2025 | OF | 14.5 in |
5 | Ryan Jung | AZ | Pinnacle High School | 2025 | RHP | 12.5 in |
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
1 | Joseph Talas | AZ | Centennial | 2025 | 3B | -20.4 |
2 | Evan Hanish | AZ | Cactus Shadows High School | 2025 | C | -18.5 |
3 | Carter Daly | AZ | Sandra Day O'Connor | 2025 | RHP | -18.2 |
4 | Cody Stoller | AZ | Sandra Day O'Connor | 2025 | RHP | -16.1 |
5 | Noah Miller | AZ | Pusch Ridge Christian | 2025 | RHP | -14.2 |
STRIKE ZONE RATE%
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
1 | Quinn Robbins | AZ | Horizon High School | 2025 | 1B | 100 % |
^ | Ryan Jung | AZ | Pinnacle High School | 2025 | RHP | 100 % |
^ | Adrian Sanderford | AZ | Prescott High School | 2025 | 1B | 100 % |
2 | Noah Miller | AZ | Pusch Ridge Christian | 2025 | RHP | 66 % |
^ | Jet Gonzalez | AZ | Higley | 2025 | OF | 66 % |
^ | Jaxon Valdez | AZ | Williams Field High School | 2025 | RHP | 66 % |
CHANGEUP
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
1 | Cody Stoller | AZ | Sandra Day O'Connor | 2025 | RHP | 20.8 |
2 | Parker Halvorson | AZ | Chaparral High School | 2025 | SS | 19.6 |
3 | Kenny Wilsford | AZ | Queen Creek | 2025 | OF | -17.4 |
4 | Brady Short | AZ | Chaparral | 2025 | LHP | -16.0 |
5 | Noah Miller | AZ | Pusch Ridge Christian | 2025 | RHP | 15.9 |
STRIKE ZONE RATE%
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
1 | Sammy Skinner | AZ | Desert Vista High School | 2025 | 1B | 100 % |
^ | Ashton Higgins | AZ | NOTRE DAME PREPARATORY | 2025 | RHP | 100 % |
^ | Caleb Sweeney | AZ | Valley Christian | 2025 | LHP | 100 % |
^ | Kenny Wilsford | AZ | Queen Creek | 2025 | OF | 100 % |
^ | Parker Halvorson | AZ | Chaparral High School | 2025 | SS | 100 % |
UPCOMING EVENTS
SHOWCASE | STATE | DATE | LOCATION |
Scottsdale Open | AZ | 07/11 | Scottsdale Stadium - Scottsdale, AZ |
PBR Junior Future Games | NATIONAL | 07/25 | LakePoint |
2023 PBR Future Games (Arizona Invite) | AZ | 07/26 | LakePoint Sports - Cartersville, GA |
2023 PBR West Coast Games | AZ | 08/4 | UNLV & College of Southern Nevada |
RECENT NEWS
- AZ Tucson Summer ID: Quick Hits 8/27/24
- AZ Tucson Summer ID: Positional Data Dive 8/27/24
- AZ Tucson Summer ID: Statistical Analysis 8/26/24
- AZ Inaugural New Mexico State Games 8/20/24
- AZ 2024 Future Games: Arizona Stat Leaders 8/04/24
- AZ Junior Future Games: Quick Hits 8/01/24
- AZ Arizona Commitment Board: 2024 Class 8/01/24
- AZ Future Games: Team Arizona Scouting Notes 7/31/24
- AZ Glendale Summer ID: Pitching Data Dive 7/19/24
- AZ Glendale Summer ID: Positional Data Dive 7/18/24