Prep Baseball Report

Northwest Suburban Summer ID: Pitching Data Dive


By: Kevin Cronin
Illinois & Wisconsin Data Coordinator, Area Scout

On July 9th, the Prep Baseball Illinois staff hosted the Northwest Suburban Summer ID at Wintrust Field in Schaumburg, Ill. Over 45 players participated in a pro-style workout, gathering unrivaled access to data through our state-of-the-art tech partners, as well as in-depth scouting analysis from our Prep Baseball Illinois staff.

Wednesday, we looked at the top measurable data performers from the event, found in our Statistical Analysis, where we broke down the stat leaders from the more traditional categories. We also released our Quick Hits from the event, highlighting some of the event's top prospects.

Now, we will take a further in-depth look at the top pitchers with the help of our tech partnerships, broken down by the categories down below:

TRACKMAN

FASTBALL

VELOCITY (MAX)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Velocity (max)
1 Enrique Villanueva IL ST LAURENCE H.S. 2025 C 85.5 mph
2 Xavier Fernandez IL Richards High School 2025 RHP 83.7 mph
3 Cavan Dunne IL Benet Academy 2025 RHP 82.9 mph
4 Max Lerner IL Glenbrook North 2025 RHP 82.9 mph
5 Grant Statler IL Hononegah 2027 LHP 82.3 mph

Max Fastball Velocity: This metric calculates the speed of the pitch as it’s released from the pitcher’s hand.

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Jason Keefe IL Lake Park 2025 OF 2394 rpm
2 Max Lerner IL Glenbrook North 2025 RHP 2254 rpm
3 Declan Gallicho IL Fremd 2026 OF 2232 rpm
4 Lucas Kohlmeyer IL Benet Academy 2026 LHP 2229 rpm
5 Andrew Ulmer IL Loyola Academy 2026 RHP 2215 rpm
6 Cavan Dunne IL Benet Academy 2025 RHP 2132 rpm
7 Chase Riccelli IL Wheaton North 2025 RHP 2132 rpm
8 Nathan Beers IL St. Charles East 2025 LHP 2100 rpm
9 Grant Statler IL Hononegah 2027 LHP 2080 rpm
10 Tyler Rizzatto IL Romeoville 2026 RHP 2052 rpm

Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Max Lerner IL Glenbrook North 2025 RHP 17.9 in
2 Xavier Fernandez IL Richards High School 2025 RHP 16.9 in
3 Cavan Dunne IL Benet Academy 2025 RHP 16.6 in
4 Declan Gallicho IL Fremd 2026 OF 16.5 in
5 Andrew Merza IL Maine East 2026 SS 16.3 in

Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiency. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of the vertical approach angle.

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Caleb East IL Oswego 2028 OF -17.2
2 Tyler Gadomski IL Plainfield Central 2025 OF 15.3
3 Grayson Caine IL St. Charles East 2027 OF 14.3
4 Lucas Kohlmeyer IL Benet Academy 2026 LHP -13.6
5 Declan Gallicho IL Fremd 2026 OF 13.5

Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Jake Mensching IL Maine West 2025 RHP 75 %
2 Carter Dees IL Huntley 2026 RHP 71 %
^ Nathan Beers IL St. Charles East 2025 LHP 71 %
^ Enrique Villanueva IL ST LAURENCE H.S. 2025 C 71 %
3 Grant Statler IL Hononegah 2027 LHP 62 %
4 Ryan Lindbloom IL Loyola Academy 2026 RHP 57 %
^ Chase Riccelli IL Wheaton North 2025 RHP 57 %
^ Grayson Caine IL St. Charles East 2027 OF 57 %
5 Max Lerner IL Glenbrook North 2025 RHP 55 %

Average MLB pitchers throw 62% strikes, and better pitchers throw strikes 65% of the time, or roughly 2:1 strikes to balls.


CURVEBALL

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Jason Keefe IL Lake Park 2025 OF 2596 rpm
2 Andrew Ulmer IL Loyola Academy 2026 RHP 2506 rpm
3 Max Lerner IL Glenbrook North 2025 RHP 2333 rpm
4 Xavier Fernandez IL Richards High School 2025 RHP 2288 rpm
5 Tyler Rizzatto IL Romeoville 2026 RHP 2243 rpm

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Xavier Fernandez IL Richards High School 2025 RHP -9.7 in
2 Caleb East IL Oswego 2028 OF -9.2 in
3 Cavan Dunne IL Benet Academy 2025 RHP -9.0 in
4 Jason Keefe IL Lake Park 2025 OF -8.2 in
5 Declan Gallicho IL Fremd 2026 OF -7.8 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Caleb East IL Oswego 2028 OF 18.1
2 Jason Keefe IL Lake Park 2025 OF -15.6
3 Declan Gallicho IL Fremd 2026 OF -14.7
4 Everett Perschall IL Glenbrook South 2025 RHP -14.1
5 Grant Statler IL Hononegah 2027 LHP 13.7

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Chase Riccelli IL Wheaton North 2025 RHP 100 %
2 Max Lerner IL Glenbrook North 2025 RHP 75 %
^ Andrew Ulmer IL Loyola Academy 2026 RHP 75 %
3 Jake Mensching IL Maine West 2025 RHP 66 %


SLIDER

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Andrew Ulmer IL Loyola Academy 2026 RHP 2402
2 Tyler Rizzatto IL Romeoville 2026 RHP 2194
3 Tyler Gadomski IL Plainfield Central 2025 OF 2149
4 Colin Albano IL Wauconda 2027 OF 2061
5 Carter Dees IL Huntley 2026 RHP 1941

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Enrique Villanueva IL ST LAURENCE H.S. 2025 C -10.6 in
2 Tyler Rizzatto IL Romeoville 2026 RHP 4.5 in
3 Grayson Caine IL St. Charles East 2027 OF 3.7 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Everett Perschall IL Glenbrook South 2025 RHP -14.5
2 Enrique Villanueva IL ST LAURENCE H.S. 2025 C -11.8
3 Tyler Lebak IL Lemont Twp High School 2025 LHP 8.9

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Tyler Gadomski IL Plainfield Central 2025 OF 75 %
^ Tyler Rizzatto IL Romeoville 2026 RHP 75 %
2 Andrew Ulmer IL Loyola Academy 2026 RHP 50 %
^ Tyler Lebak IL Lemont Twp High School 2025 LHP 50 %
^ Enrique Villanueva IL ST LAURENCE H.S. 2025 C 50 %


CHANGEUP

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Jason Keefe IL Lake Park 2025 OF 1933 rpm
2 Xavier Fernandez IL Richards High School 2025 RHP 1806 rpm
3 Nathan Beers IL St. Charles East 2025 LHP 1762 rpm
4 Lucas Kohlmeyer IL Benet Academy 2026 LHP 1752 rpm
5 Colin Albano IL Wauconda 2027 OF 1707 rpm

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Max Lerner IL Glenbrook North 2025 RHP 18.1 in
2 Tyler Lebak IL Lemont Twp High School 2025 LHP 16.3 in
3 Xavier Fernandez IL Richards High School 2025 RHP 15.0 in
4 Ryan Lindbloom IL Loyola Academy 2026 RHP 14.6 in
5 Grant Statler IL Hononegah 2027 LHP 12.2 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Tyler Gadomski IL Plainfield Central 2025 OF 17.8
2 Peyton Tucker WI Turner 2027 OF 17.8
3 Andrew Merza IL Maine East 2026 SS 15.2
4 Colin Albano IL Wauconda 2027 OF -13.7
5 Declan Gallicho IL Fremd 2026 OF 12.8

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Grant Statler IL Hononegah 2027 LHP 80 %
2 Max Lerner IL Glenbrook North 2025 RHP 75 %
3 Andrew Merza IL Maine East 2026 SS 50 %
^ Carter Dees IL Huntley 2026 RHP 50 %

+ CLICK HERE for a look at the complete statistics from the event.

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