Seattle Fall ID: Pitching Data Dive
October 31, 2023
On October 7th, PBR Washington hosted the Seattle Fall ID in Mercer Island. Perennially, showcases helps introduce our staff to new need-to-know players in the state that we’d not yet seen before, as well as provided us with updated looks at players who’ve earned our attention in the past. This event was for all high school classes.
Previously, we have published our Statistical Analysis. Now, we will take a further in-depth look at the top pitchers with the help of our tech partnerships, broken down by the categories down below:
TRACKMAN
FASTBALL
VELOCITY (MAX)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Velocity (max) |
1 | Andrew (AJ) Welch | WA | Monroe High School | 2026 | RHP | 84.7 mph |
2 | Hudson Carvalho | WA | Issaquah | 2025 | SS | 84.6 mph |
3 | Dylan Jacobs | WA | Mount Vernon High School | 2025 | 3B | 83.9 mph |
4 | Eric Havili | WA | Decatur | 2025 | OF | 81.7 mph |
5 | Andre Muneton | WA | Auburn Riverside | 2025 | 2B | 80.9 mph |
Max Fastball Velocity: This metric calculates the speed of the pitch as it’s released from the pitcher’s hand.
SPIN RATE (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Spin Rate (avg) |
1 | Hudson Carvalho | WA | Issaquah | 2025 | SS | 2304 rpm |
2 | Parker Kruglik | WA | Bainbridge Island | 2025 | RHP | 2150 rpm |
3 | Andre Muneton | WA | Auburn Riverside | 2025 | 2B | 2127 rpm |
4 | Seth Rutman | WA | West Seattle | 2025 | RHP | 2107 rpm |
5 | Eric Havili | WA | Decatur | 2025 | OF | 2096 rpm |
Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.
INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | IVB (avg) |
1 | Dylan Jacobs | WA | Mount Vernon High School | 2025 | 3B | 17.6 in |
2 | Kaiden Kingsley | WA | Monroe High School | 2026 | RHP | 16.5 in |
3 | Andrew (AJ) Welch | WA | Monroe High School | 2026 | RHP | 16.4 in |
4 | Parker Kruglik | WA | Bainbridge Island | 2025 | RHP | 16.3 in |
5 | Eric Havili | WA | Decatur | 2025 | OF | 16.0 in |
6 | Noah Chong | WA | Bellevue Christian | 2028 | RHP | 15.9 in |
7 | Hudson Carvalho | WA | Issaquah | 2025 | SS | 15.7 in |
8 | Brady Reiss | WA | King's | 2027 | OF | 15.6 in |
9 | Seth Rutman | WA | West Seattle | 2025 | RHP | 15.1 in |
10 | Owen Meek | WA | Mountlake Terrace High School | 2026 | RHP | 14.8 in |
Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiency. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of the vertical approach angle.
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
1 | Hudson Carvalho | WA | Issaquah | 2025 | SS | 15.7 |
2 | Bodey Reiss | WA | King's | 2025 | OF | 11.6 |
3 | Owen Meek | WA | Mountlake Terrace High School | 2026 | RHP | 11.6 |
4 | Andrew (AJ) Welch | WA | Monroe High School | 2026 | RHP | 10.2 |
5 | Dylan Jacobs | WA | Mount Vernon High School | 2025 | 3B | 9.3 |
Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”
STRIKE ZONE RATE%
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
1 | Andrew (AJ) Welch | WA | Monroe High School | 2026 | RHP | 75 % |
2 | Seth Rutman | WA | West Seattle | 2025 | RHP | 62 % |
3 | Andre Muneton | WA | Auburn Riverside | 2025 | 2B | 57 % |
^ | Dylan Jacobs | WA | Mount Vernon High School | 2025 | 3B | 57 % |
^ | Eric Havili | WA | Decatur | 2025 | OF | 57 % |
4 | Owen Meek | WA | Mountlake Terrace High School | 2026 | RHP | 50 % |
^ | Bodey Reiss | WA | King's | 2025 | OF | 50 % |
Average MLB pitchers throw 62% strikes, and better pitchers throw strikes 65% of the time, or roughly 2:1 strikes to balls.
CURVEBALL
SPIN RATE (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Spin Rate (avg) |
1 | Seth Rutman | WA | West Seattle | 2025 | RHP | 2428 rpm |
2 | Hudson Carvalho | WA | Issaquah | 2025 | SS | 2290 rpm |
3 | Parker Kruglik | WA | Bainbridge Island | 2025 | RHP | 2012 rpm |
4 | Andre Muneton | WA | Auburn Riverside | 2025 | 2B | 1986 rpm |
5 | Eric Havili | WA | Decatur | 2025 | OF | 1960 rpm |
INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | IVB (avg) |
1 | Parker Kruglik | WA | Bainbridge Island | 2025 | RHP | -7.4 in |
2 | Kaiden Kingsley | WA | Monroe High School | 2026 | RHP | -7.0 in |
3 | Andre Muneton | WA | Auburn Riverside | 2025 | 2B | 6.4 in |
4 | Eric Havili | WA | Decatur | 2025 | OF | 5.3 in |
5 | Hudson Carvalho | WA | Issaquah | 2025 | SS | -5.1 in |
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
1 | Hudson Carvalho | WA | Issaquah | 2025 | SS | -16.3 |
2 | Andre Muneton | WA | Auburn Riverside | 2025 | 2B | -16.2 |
3 | Parker Kruglik | WA | Bainbridge Island | 2025 | RHP | -14.9 |
4 | Andrew (AJ) Welch | WA | Monroe High School | 2026 | RHP | -14.1 |
5 | Seth Rutman | WA | West Seattle | 2025 | RHP | -14.0 |
6 | Brady Reiss | WA | King's | 2027 | OF | -12.9 |
7 | Kaiden Kingsley | WA | Monroe High School | 2026 | RHP | -11.4 |
8 | Eric Havili | WA | Decatur | 2025 | OF | -10.7 |
STRIKE ZONE RATE%
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
1 | Andrew (AJ) Welch | WA | Monroe High School | 2026 | RHP | 75 % |
2 | Seth Rutman | WA | West Seattle | 2025 | RHP | 50 % |
^ | Brady Reiss | WA | King's | 2027 | OF | 50 % |
3 | Eric Havili | WA | Decatur | 2025 | OF | 40 % |
SLIDER
SPIN RATE (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Spin Rate (avg) |
1 | Seth Rutman | WA | West Seattle | 2025 | RHP | 2494 |
2 | Andre Muneton | WA | Auburn Riverside | 2025 | 2B | 2191 |
3 | Bodey Reiss | WA | King's | 2025 | OF | 2015 |
INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | IVB (avg) |
1 | Seth Rutman | WA | West Seattle | 2025 | RHP | 7.9 in |
2 | Andre Muneton | WA | Auburn Riverside | 2025 | 2B | 5.5 in |
3 | Bodey Reiss | WA | King's | 2025 | OF | 3.5 in |
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
1 | Andre Muneton | WA | Auburn Riverside | 2025 | 2B | -13.9 |
2 | Eric Havili | WA | Decatur | 2025 | OF | -13.8 |
3 | Seth Rutman | WA | West Seattle | 2025 | RHP | -10.1 |
STRIKE ZONE RATE%
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
1 | Noah Chong | WA | Bellevue Christian | 2028 | RHP | 50 % |
2 | Seth Rutman | WA | West Seattle | 2025 | RHP | 40 % |
3 | Bodey Reiss | WA | King's | 2025 | OF | 33 % |
CHANGEUP
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
1 | Dylan Jacobs | WA | Mount Vernon High School | 2025 | 3B | 16.0 |
2 | Owen Meek | WA | Mountlake Terrace High School | 2026 | RHP | 13.3 |
3 | Hudson Carvalho | WA | Issaquah | 2025 | SS | 12.9 |
4 | Seth Rutman | WA | West Seattle | 2025 | RHP | 12.5 |
5 | Andrew (AJ) Welch | WA | Monroe High School | 2026 | RHP | 10.8 |
STRIKE ZONE RATE%
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
1 | Parker Kruglik | WA | Bainbridge Island | 2025 | RHP | 75 % |
2 | Hudson Carvalho | WA | Issaquah | 2025 | SS | 66 % |
3 | Andrew (AJ) Welch | WA | Monroe High School | 2026 | RHP | 50 % |
+ CLICK HERE for a look at the complete statistics from the event.
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