Tucson Fall ID: Pitching Data Dive
October 4, 2023
On Sunday, October 1st, the PBR Arizona staff hosted the Tucson Fall ID at Hi Corbett Field, home of the University of Arizona Wildcats baseball program in Tucson, Arizona. This event featured 21 uncommitted prospects from the 2024 - 2027 classes and allowed our staff an opportunity to get an in-depth look at the players in attendance.
Earlier this week, we broke down the top measurable data performers from the event with our Statistical Analysis article. Now, we will take a further in-depth look at the top pitchers with the help of our tech partnerships, broken down by the categories down below:
For complete event results, click here.
To view upcoming event schedule, click here.
FASTBALL
MAX VELOCITY (MPH)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Velocity (max) |
1 | Michel Muniz Jr | AZ | Sunnyside | 2025 | C | 86.0 mph |
2 | Henry Verhamme | AZ | Cactus Shadows | 2026 | SS | 83.4 mph |
3 | Denzel Montijo | AZ | Nogales | 2025 | 3B | 83.3 mph |
4 | Rafael Echeverria | AZ | Rio Rico | 2025 | LHP | 80.9 mph |
5 | Brayden Hoyler | AZ | Canyon Del Oro High School | 2027 | SS | 79.7 mph |
Max Fastball Velocity: This metric calculates the speed of the pitch as it’s released from the pitcher’s hand.
SPIN RATE (AVG)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Spin Rate (avg) |
1 | Rafael Echeverria | AZ | Rio Rico | 2025 | LHP | 2265 rpm |
2 | Michel Muniz Jr | AZ | Sunnyside | 2025 | C | 2250 rpm |
3 | Raydon Rocha | AZ | Mica Mountain High | 2026 | SS | 2135 rpm |
4 | Gabriel A Mendoza | AZ | Millenium | 2025 | LHP | 2122 rpm |
5 | Henry Verhamme | AZ | Cactus Shadows | 2026 | SS | 2087 rpm |
Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.
INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | IVB (avg) |
1 | Rafael Echeverria | AZ | Rio Rico | 2025 | LHP | 17.1 in |
2 | Michel Muniz Jr | AZ | Sunnyside | 2025 | C | 14.1 in |
3 | Brayden Hoyler | AZ | Canyon Del Oro High School | 2027 | SS | 13.8 in |
4 | Henry Verhamme | AZ | Cactus Shadows | 2026 | SS | 13.6 in |
5 | Raydon Rocha | AZ | Mica Mountain High | 2026 | SS | 12.6 in |
Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiency. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of the vertical approach angle.
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
1 | Brayden Hoyler | AZ | Canyon Del Oro High School | 2027 | SS | 8.9 |
2 | Rafael Echeverria | AZ | Rio Rico | 2025 | LHP | -8.6 |
3 | Henry Verhamme | AZ | Cactus Shadows | 2026 | SS | 8.1 |
4 | Raydon Rocha | AZ | Mica Mountain High | 2026 | SS | 7.0 |
5 | Michel Muniz Jr | AZ | Sunnyside | 2025 | C | 5.0 |
Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”
STRIKE ZONE RATE%
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
1 | Michel Muniz Jr | AZ | Sunnyside | 2025 | C | 83 % |
2 | Rafael Echeverria | AZ | Rio Rico | 2025 | LHP | 57 % |
CURVEBALL
SPIN RATE (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Spin Rate (avg) |
1 | Gabriel A Mendoza | AZ | Millenium | 2025 | LHP | 2358 rpm |
2 | Rafael Echeverria | AZ | Rio Rico | 2025 | LHP | 2356 rpm |
INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | IVB (avg) |
1 | Gabriel A Mendoza | AZ | Millenium | 2025 | LHP | -12.6 in |
2 | Rafael Echeverria | AZ | Rio Rico | 2025 | LHP | -2.6 in |
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
1 | Rafael Echeverria | AZ | Rio Rico | 2025 | LHP | 5.2 |
2 | Gabriel A Mendoza | AZ | Millenium | 2025 | LHP | 1.6 |
SLIDER
SPIN RATE (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Spin Rate (avg) |
1 | Brayden Hoyler | AZ | Canyon Del Oro High School | 2027 | SS | 2225 |
2 | Denzel Montijo | AZ | Nogales | 2025 | 3B | 2177 |
3 | Raydon Rocha | AZ | Mica Mountain High | 2026 | SS | 2107 |
4 | Henry Verhamme | AZ | Cactus Shadows | 2026 | SS | 2074 |
5 | Michel Muniz Jr | AZ | Sunnyside | 2025 | C | 1903 |
INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | IVB (avg) |
1 | Raydon Rocha | AZ | Mica Mountain High | 2026 | SS | -6.9 in |
2 | Denzel Montijo | AZ | Nogales | 2025 | 3B | -6.6 in |
3 | Brayden Hoyler | AZ | Canyon Del Oro High School | 2027 | SS | -4.4 in |
4 | Michel Muniz Jr | AZ | Sunnyside | 2025 | C | 0.4 in |
5 | Henry Verhamme | AZ | Cactus Shadows | 2026 | SS | 0.2 in |
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
1 | Raydon Rocha | AZ | Mica Mountain High | 2026 | SS | -14.2 |
2 | Brayden Hoyler | AZ | Canyon Del Oro High School | 2027 | SS | -13.5 |
3 | Denzel Montijo | AZ | Nogales | 2025 | 3B | -13.3 |
4 | Henry Verhamme | AZ | Cactus Shadows | 2026 | SS | -9.5 |
5 | Michel Muniz Jr | AZ | Sunnyside | 2025 | C | -2.2 |
STRIKE ZONE RATE%
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
1 | Raydon Rocha | AZ | Mica Mountain High | 2026 | SS | 80 % |
2 | Brayden Hoyler | AZ | Canyon Del Oro High School | 2027 | SS | 60 % |
3 | Denzel Montijo | AZ | Nogales | 2025 | 3B | 50 % |
^ | Henry Verhamme | AZ | Cactus Shadows | 2026 | SS | 50 % |
CHANGEUP
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
1 | Raydon Rocha | AZ | Mica Mountain High | 2026 | SS | 16.0 |
2 | Michel Muniz Jr | AZ | Sunnyside | 2025 | C | 11.2 |
3 | Rafael Echeverria | AZ | Rio Rico | 2025 | LHP | -10.6 |
4 | Denzel Montijo | AZ | Nogales | 2025 | 3B | 6.0 |
5 | Henry Verhamme | AZ | Cactus Shadows | 2026 | SS | 5.5 |
STRIKE ZONE RATE%
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
1 | Raydon Rocha | AZ | Mica Mountain High | 2026 | SS | 50 % |
^ | Rafael Echeverria | AZ | Rio Rico | 2025 | LHP | 50 % |
UPCOMING EVENTS
SHOWCASE | STATE | DATE | LOCATION |
Phoenix Fall ID | AZ | 10/29 | Grand Canyon University |
RECENT NEWS
- AZ Arizona 2026 Class Rankings Update 9/04/24
- AZ Arizona Commitment Board: Class of 2025 8/30/24
- AZ Arizona Commitment Board: 2024 Class 8/30/24
- AZ Tucson Summer ID: Pitching Data Dive 8/28/24
- AZ Arizona 2025 Rankings Update 8/28/24
- AZ Tucson Summer ID: Quick Hits 8/27/24
- AZ Tucson Summer ID: Positional Data Dive 8/27/24
- AZ Tucson Summer ID: Statistical Analysis 8/26/24
- AZ Inaugural New Mexico State Games 8/20/24
- AZ 2024 Future Games: Arizona Stat Leaders 8/04/24