Top Prospect Games Central Texas Data Dive: Pitching
July 5, 2023
On June 20, the PBR Texas team hosted the Top Prospect Games: Central Texas at Texas State University. The event was invite-only and featured quality prospects from all HS classes. The day consisted of a showcase portion, followed by gameplay. Today, we take a closer look at the pitching metrics collected by TrackMan.
FASTBALL
MAX VELOCITY (MPH)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Velocity (max) |
1 | John D Mitchell | TX | St. John XXIII College Preparatory | 2024 | RHP | 91.0 mph |
2 | Kolin Swindall | TX | Alvin | 2025 | RHP | 87.1 mph |
3 | Colt Brown | TX | NAVARRO H S | 2025 | C | 84.7 mph |
4 | Logan Flores | TX | Salado | 2024 | LHP | 84.5 mph |
5 | Jace Patton | TX | Frisco Centennial | 2024 | SS | 84.4 mph |
Max Fastball Velocity: This metric calculates the speed of the pitch as it’s released from the pitcher’s hand.
SPIN RATE (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Spin Rate (avg) |
1 | John D Mitchell | TX | St. John XXIII College Preparatory | 2024 | RHP | 2244 rpm |
2 | Logan Shields | TX | Ridge Point | 2026 | 2B | 2184 rpm |
3 | Dylan Rostron | TX | CY-FAIR H S | 2025 | OF | 2179 rpm |
4 | Jace Patton | TX | Frisco Centennial | 2024 | SS | 2119 rpm |
5 | Kolin Swindall | TX | Alvin | 2025 | RHP | 2032 rpm |
Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.
INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | IVB (avg) |
1 | Lawson Behan | TX | Lamar | 2026 | SS | 17.7 in |
2 | Jace Patton | TX | Frisco Centennial | 2024 | SS | 17.4 in |
3 | Kannon Baird | TX | Salado | 2025 | OF | 15.9 in |
4 | John D Mitchell | TX | St. John XXIII College Preparatory | 2024 | RHP | 15.4 in |
5 | Jake Beck | TX | Austin | 2024 | RHP | 14.3 in |
Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiency. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of the vertical approach angle.
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
1 | Logan Flores | TX | Salado | 2024 | LHP | -12.3 |
2 | Joseph Cardona Jr. | TX | Buda Johnson | 2027 | 1B | -10.1 |
3 | William Fiedler | TX | Kingwood | 2026 | OF | 10.0 |
4 | Colt Brown | TX | NAVARRO H S | 2025 | C | 8.7 |
5 | Logan Shields | TX | Ridge Point | 2026 | 2B | 8.5 |
Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”
STRIKE ZONE RATE%
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
1 | Logan Flores | TX | Salado | 2024 | LHP | 73 % |
2 | Isaiah Robledo | TX | REAGAN H S | 2025 | 2B | 66 % |
^ | Jace Patton | TX | Frisco Centennial | 2024 | SS | 66 % |
3 | John D Mitchell | TX | St. John XXIII College Preparatory | 2024 | RHP | 63 % |
CURVEBALL
SPIN RATE (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Spin Rate (avg) |
1 | John D Mitchell | TX | St. John XXIII College Preparatory | 2024 | RHP | 2574 rpm |
2 | Dylan Rostron | TX | CY-FAIR H S | 2025 | OF | 2550 rpm |
3 | Jace Patton | TX | Frisco Centennial | 2024 | SS | 2465 rpm |
4 | Logan Shields | TX | Ridge Point | 2026 | 2B | 2436 rpm |
5 | Lawson Behan | TX | Lamar | 2026 | SS | 2354 rpm |
6 | Jake Beck | TX | Austin | 2024 | RHP | 2323 rpm |
7 | Kannon Baird | TX | Salado | 2025 | OF | 2146 rpm |
INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | IVB (avg) |
1 | Jace Patton | TX | Frisco Centennial | 2024 | SS | -14.9 in |
2 | Graham Charboneau | TX | Kingwood | 2026 | OF | -9.8 in |
3 | Jackson Dippel | TX | Second Baptist | 2026 | RHP | -8.8 in |
4 | Kolin Swindall | TX | Alvin | 2025 | RHP | -8.0 in |
5 | Lawson Behan | TX | Lamar | 2026 | SS | -7.9 in |
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
1 | Lawson Behan | TX | Lamar | 2026 | SS | -15.5 |
2 | Jace Patton | TX | Frisco Centennial | 2024 | SS | -12.8 |
3 | Graham Charboneau | TX | Kingwood | 2026 | OF | -12.5 |
4 | Jake Beck | TX | Austin | 2024 | RHP | -12.4 |
5 | Jackson Dippel | TX | Second Baptist | 2026 | RHP | -11.7 |
STRIKE ZONE RATE%
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
1 | Dylan Rostron | TX | CY-FAIR H S | 2025 | OF | 100 % |
2 | Logan Shields | TX | Ridge Point | 2026 | 2B | 66 % |
3 | Isaiah Robledo | TX | REAGAN H S | 2025 | 2B | 60 % |
SLIDER
SPIN RATE (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Spin Rate (avg) |
1 | John D Mitchell | TX | St. John XXIII College Preparatory | 2024 | RHP | 2365 |
2 | Kolin Swindall | TX | Alvin | 2025 | RHP | 2153 |
3 | Coen Devillier | TX | Jacksonville | 2024 | RHP | 2146 |
INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | IVB (avg) |
1 | Isaiah Robledo | TX | REAGAN H S | 2025 | 2B | 14.9 in |
2 | Lawson Behan | TX | Lamar | 2026 | SS | 8.6 in |
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
1 | Kolin Swindall | TX | Alvin | 2025 | RHP | -12.4 |
2 | John D Mitchell | TX | St. John XXIII College Preparatory | 2024 | RHP | -6.6 |
3 | Isaiah Robledo | TX | REAGAN H S | 2025 | 2B | -6.0 |
CHANGEUP
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
1 | Logan Flores | TX | Salado | 2024 | LHP | -16.1 |
2 | Jace Patton | TX | Frisco Centennial | 2024 | SS | 15.3 |
3 | Dylan Rostron | TX | CY-FAIR H S | 2025 | OF | -14.1 |
4 | Kolin Swindall | TX | Alvin | 2025 | RHP | 13.7 |
5 | Logan Shields | TX | Ridge Point | 2026 | 2B | 13.5 |