2026/2027 Top Prospect Games: Pitching Data Dive
June 12, 2023
On June 6th and 7th, the PBR Arizona staff hosted the 2026/2027 Top Prospect Games at Legacy Sports Complex in Mesa, Arizona. This event featured around 43 prospects, with plenty of top talent from the 2026 and 2027 classes and allowed our staff an opportunity to get an in-depth look at the players in attendance.
Earlier this week, we broke down the top measurable data performers from the event with our Statistical Analysis. Now, we will take a further in-depth look at the top pitchers with the help of our tech partnerships, broken down by the categories down below:
For complete event results, click here.
To view upcoming event schedule, click here.
FASTBALL
MAX VELOCITY (MPH)
Rank
Name
State
School
Class
Pos
Velocity (max)
1
Devin Long
AZ
Chaparral High School
2026
RHP
89.6 mph
2
Dylan Keith
AZ
Red Mountain
2027
OF
81.7 mph
3
Layne Henry
AZ
NOTRE DAME PREPARATORY
2026
SS
80.8 mph
4
Brayden Hoyler
AZ
Canyon Del Oro High School
2027
SS
80.2 mph
5
Max Mangini
AZ
Chaparral High School
2026
RHP
79.6 mph
Max Fastball Velocity: This metric calculates the speed of the pitch as it’s released from the pitcher’s hand.
SPIN RATE (AVG)
Rank
Name
State
School
Class
Pos
Spin Rate (avg)
1
Devin Long
AZ
Chaparral High School
2026
RHP
2150 rpm
2
Devin Montes
AZ
Mountain Pointe
2026
C
2096 rpm
3
Lane Abel
AZ
Gilbert
2026
SS
2041 rpm
4
Layne Henry
AZ
NOTRE DAME PREPARATORY
2026
SS
2026 rpm
5
Brayden Hoyler
AZ
Canyon Del Oro High School
2027
SS
2017 rpm
Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.
INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)
Rank
Name
State
School
Class
Pos
IVB (avg)
1
Jake Claver
AZ
Desert Mountain High School
2026
OF
20.2 in
2
Cayden Hokanson
AZ
Casteel High School
2026
RHP
17.9 in
3
Devin Montes
AZ
Mountain Pointe
2026
C
16.8 in
4
Devin Long
AZ
Chaparral High School
2026
RHP
16.2 in
5
Hunter Halvorson
AZ
Chaparral High School
2027
RHP
16.0 in
Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiency. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of the vertical approach angle.
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
Rank
Name
State
School
Class
Pos
HM (avg)
1
Lane Abel
AZ
Gilbert
2026
SS
19.8
2
Jacob Reyes
AZ
Sunnyslope
2027
RHP
16.6
3
Dylan Keith
AZ
Red Mountain
2027
OF
13.1
4
Layne Henry
AZ
NOTRE DAME PREPARATORY
2026
SS
12.4
5
Jaden Fernandez
AZ
Millennium
2026
1B
-11.6
Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”
STRIKE ZONE RATE%
Rank
Name
State
School
Class
Pos
Zone %
1
Lane Abel
AZ
Gilbert
2026
SS
60 %
2
Devin Montes
AZ
Mountain Pointe
2026
C
58 %
3
Cayden Hokanson
AZ
Casteel High School
2026
RHP
57 %
4
Devin Long
AZ
Chaparral High School
2026
RHP
55 %
5
Jacob Reyes
AZ
Sunnyslope
2027
RHP
54 %
CURVEBALL
SPIN RATE (AVG.)
Rank
Name
State
School
Class
Pos
Spin Rate (avg)
1
Devin Montes
AZ
Mountain Pointe
2026
C
2024 rpm
2
Cayden Hokanson
AZ
Casteel High School
2026
RHP
1843 rpm
3
Trey Parker
AZ
Coconino
2026
OF
1793 rpm
4
Hunter Halvorson
AZ
Chaparral High School
2027
RHP
1766 rpm
5
Conor Ramirez
AZ
Kofa
2026
RHP
1077 rpm
INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)
Rank
Name
State
School
Class
Pos
IVB (avg)
1
Conor Ramirez
AZ
Kofa
2026
RHP
-8.9 in
2
Hunter Halvorson
AZ
Chaparral High School
2027
RHP
-5.6 in
3
Trey Parker
AZ
Coconino
2026
OF
-3.5 in
4
Cayden Hokanson
AZ
Casteel High School
2026
RHP
-3.5 in
5
Devin Montes
AZ
Mountain Pointe
2026
C
2.3 in
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
Rank
Name
State
School
Class
Pos
HM (avg)
1
Trey Parker
AZ
Coconino
2026
OF
-15.1
2
Cayden Hokanson
AZ
Casteel High School
2026
RHP
-8.9
3
Devin Montes
AZ
Mountain Pointe
2026
C
-7.7
4
Hunter Halvorson
AZ
Chaparral High School
2027
RHP
-6.8
5
Conor Ramirez
AZ
Kofa
2026
RHP
-2.3
SLIDER
SPIN RATE (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Spin Rate (avg) |
1 | Brayden Hoyler | AZ | Canyon Del Oro High School | 2027 | SS | 2168 |
2 | Devin Long | AZ | Chaparral High School | 2026 | RHP | 2081 |
3 | Layne Henry | AZ | NOTRE DAME PREPARATORY | 2026 | SS | 2016 |
4 | Devin Montes | AZ | Mountain Pointe | 2026 | C | 1962 |
5 | Cayden Hokanson | AZ | Casteel High School | 2026 | RHP | 1954 |
INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | IVB (avg) |
1 | Devin Montes | AZ | Mountain Pointe | 2026 | C | 9.3 in |
2 | Trey Parker | AZ | Coconino | 2026 | OF | -9.0 in |
3 | Brayden Hoyler | AZ | Canyon Del Oro High School | 2027 | SS | -8.2 in |
4 | Dylan Keith | AZ | Red Mountain | 2027 | OF | -6.0 in |
5 | Cayden Hokanson | AZ | Casteel High School | 2026 | RHP | -5.9 in |
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
1 | Brayden Hoyler | AZ | Canyon Del Oro High School | 2027 | SS | -16.1 |
2 | Trey Parker | AZ | Coconino | 2026 | OF | -14.3 |
3 | Dylan Keith | AZ | Red Mountain | 2027 | OF | -12.6 |
4 | Jack Josephson | AZ | Chaparral | 2027 | SS | -11.0 |
5 | Layne Henry | AZ | NOTRE DAME PREPARATORY | 2026 | SS | -11.0 |
STRIKE ZONE RATE%
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
1 | Jake Claver | AZ | Desert Mountain High School | 2026 | OF | 60 % |
2 | Max Mangini | AZ | Chaparral High School | 2026 | RHP | 42 % |
3 | Brayden Hoyler | AZ | Canyon Del Oro High School | 2027 | SS | 37 % |
4 | Dylan Keith | AZ | Red Mountain | 2027 | OF | 33 % |
^ | Devin Montes | AZ | Mountain Pointe | 2026 | C | 33 % |
^ | Jacob Reyes | AZ | Sunnyslope | 2027 | RHP | 33 % |
CHANGEUP
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
1 | Lane Abel | AZ | Gilbert | 2026 | SS | 17.1 |
2 | Jacob Reyes | AZ | Sunnyslope | 2027 | RHP | 15.1 |
3 | Jack Josephson | AZ | Chaparral | 2027 | SS | -10.3 |
4 | Cayden Hokanson | AZ | Casteel High School | 2026 | RHP | 8.7 |
5 | Jahir Jensen | AZ | chaparral | 2027 | 3B | 6.9 |
STRIKE ZONE RATE%
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
1 | Jacob Reyes | AZ | Sunnyslope | 2027 | RHP | 50 % |
2 | Jake Claver | AZ | Desert Mountain High School | 2026 | OF | 42 % |
3 | Cayden Hokanson | AZ | Casteel High School | 2026 | RHP | 37 % |
4 | Lane Abel | AZ | Gilbert | 2026 | SS | 33 % |
UPCOMING EVENTS
SHOWCASE | STATE | DATE | LOCATION |
Top Prospect Games: Class of 2025 | AZ | 06/12 | Brewers Spring Training Fields - Phoenix, AZ |
Top Prospect Games: Class of 2024 | AZ | 06/13 | Brewers Spring Training Fields - Phoenix, AZ |
Scottsdale Open | AZ | 07/11 | Scottsdale Stadium - Scottsdale, AZ |
PBR Junior Future Games | NATIONAL | 07/25 | LakePoint |
2023 PBR Future Games (Arizona Invite) | AZ | 07/26 | LakePoint Sports - Cartersville, GA |
RECENT NEWS
- AZ Arizona Commitment Board: Class of 2025 8/30/24
- AZ Arizona Commitment Board: 2024 Class 8/30/24
- AZ Tucson Summer ID: Pitching Data Dive 8/28/24
- AZ Arizona 2025 Rankings Update 8/28/24
- AZ Tucson Summer ID: Quick Hits 8/27/24
- AZ Tucson Summer ID: Positional Data Dive 8/27/24
- AZ Tucson Summer ID: Statistical Analysis 8/26/24
- AZ Inaugural New Mexico State Games 8/20/24
- AZ 2024 Future Games: Arizona Stat Leaders 8/04/24
- AZ Junior Future Games: Quick Hits 8/01/24