Toronto Fall ID: Pitching Data Dive
October 2, 2024
On Tuesday, October 1st, the Prep Baseball Ontario staff hosted the annual Toronto Fall ID at the Connorvale Park in Toronto, Ontario. This event featured 35+ players in 2025 - 2028 classes and allowed our staff an opportunity to get an in-depth look at the players, as well as collect updated metrics via our tech partner TrackMan. The Toronto Fall ID serves as the final chance each year for players to updated their profiles before heading indoors for the winter.
Earlier this week, we broke down the top measurable data performers from the event with our Statistical Analysis article. Now, we will take a further in-depth look at the top pitchers with the help of our tech partnerships, broken down by the categories down below:
For complete event results, click here.
To view upcoming event schedule, click here.
FASTBALL
MAX VELOCITY (MPH)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Velocity (max) |
1 | Tanner Wiens | ON | A.N. Myer | 2027 | RHP | 85.0 mph |
2 | Elijah Smith | ON | banting memorial hs | 2028 | OF | 83.9 mph |
3 | Matthew Clarke | ON | Mowat Collegiate | 2025 | LHP | 81.1 mph |
4 | Cooper Watson | ON | St. Aloysius Gonzaga | 2027 | 3B | 80.6 mph |
5 | Harutaro Masani | ON | York Mills College | 2026 | RHP | 80.2 mph |
Max Fastball Velocity: This metric calculates the speed of the pitch as it’s released from the pitcher’s hand.
SPIN RATE (AVG)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Spin Rate (avg) |
1 | Alessandro Zayas | ON | cardinal carter catholic | 2027 | 3B | 2337 rpm |
2 | Humza Ajmal | ON | Bill Hogarth | 2027 | 3B | 2336 rpm |
3 | Tanner Wiens | ON | A.N. Myer | 2027 | RHP | 2256 rpm |
4 | Matthew Clarke | ON | Mowat Collegiate | 2025 | LHP | 2224 rpm |
5 | Ben Stockert | ON | Not list | 2026 | RHP | 2172 rpm |
Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.
INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | IVB (avg) |
1 | Matthew Clarke | ON | Mowat Collegiate | 2025 | LHP | 21.2 in |
2 | Cooper Hershenhorn | ON | Leaside | 2027 | OF | 18.9 in |
3 | Zavier Zografos | ON | St. Augustine Catholic High School | 2025 | SS | 18.0 in |
4 | Spencer MacLellan | ON | Barrie North Collegiate | 2026 | RHP | 17.3 in |
5 | Elijah Smith | ON | banting memorial hs | 2028 | OF | 17.0 in |
Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiency. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of the vertical approach angle.
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
1 | Cooper Watson | ON | St. Aloysius Gonzaga | 2027 | 3B | 16.3 |
2 | Ben Stockert | ON | Not list | 2026 | RHP | 11.6 |
3 | Major MacNeil | ON | Nottawasaga Pines | 2028 | RHP | 11.6 |
4 | Kaeden Cabral | ON | St. Martin Secondary School | 2027 | 3B | 10.3 |
5 | Elijah Smith | ON | banting memorial hs | 2028 | OF | 10.2 |
Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”
STRIKE ZONE %
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
1 | Tanner Wiens | ON | A.N. Myer | 2027 | RHP | 72 % |
2 | Kaeden Cabral | ON | St. Martin Secondary School | 2027 | 3B | 71 % |
3 | Alessandro Zayas | ON | cardinal carter catholic | 2027 | 3B | 66 % |
^ | Willem Pavey | ON | Maple Ridge | 2027 | RHP | 66 % |
4 | Matthew Clarke | ON | Mowat Collegiate | 2025 | LHP | 62 % |
CURVEBALL
SPIN RATE (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Spin Rate (avg) |
1 | William Weeks | ON | Perth and District Collegiate Institute | 2025 | RHP | 2513 rpm |
2 | Alessandro Zayas | ON | cardinal carter catholic | 2027 | 3B | 2450 rpm |
3 | James Bader | ON | Loyola Catholic | 2027 | OF | 2293 rpm |
4 | Matthew Clarke | ON | Mowat Collegiate | 2025 | LHP | 2274 rpm |
5 | Major MacNeil | ON | Nottawasaga Pines | 2028 | RHP | 2200 rpm |
INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | IVB (avg) |
1 | Alessandro Zayas | ON | cardinal carter catholic | 2027 | 3B | -14.5 in |
2 | William Weeks | ON | Perth and District Collegiate Institute | 2025 | RHP | -13.4 in |
3 | Yuya Nakamura | ON | Earl Haig | 2026 | RHP | -10.6 in |
4 | James Bader | ON | Loyola Catholic | 2027 | OF | -8.3 in |
5 | Zavier Zografos | ON | St. Augustine Catholic High School | 2025 | SS | -7.0 in |
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
1 | William Weeks | ON | Perth and District Collegiate Institute | 2025 | RHP | -17.8 |
2 | James Bader | ON | Loyola Catholic | 2027 | OF | -15.7 |
3 | Major MacNeil | ON | Nottawasaga Pines | 2028 | RHP | -13.7 |
4 | Zavier Zografos | ON | St. Augustine Catholic High School | 2025 | SS | -13.0 |
5 | Humza Ajmal | ON | Bill Hogarth | 2027 | 3B | -12.7 |
STRIKE ZONE RATE%
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
1 | Kaeden Cabral | ON | St. Martin Secondary School | 2027 | 3B | 100 % |
^ | Major MacNeil | ON | Nottawasaga Pines | 2028 | RHP | 100 % |
^ | Elijah Smith | ON | banting memorial hs | 2028 | OF | 100 % |
2 | Alessandro Zayas | ON | cardinal carter catholic | 2027 | 3B | 75 % |
^ | Zavier Zografos | ON | St. Augustine Catholic High School | 2025 | SS | 75 % |
SLIDER
SPIN RATE (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Spin Rate (avg) |
1 | Rohan Persad | ON | Harbord Collegiate Institute | 2027 | SS | 2589 |
2 | Alessandro Zayas | ON | cardinal carter catholic | 2027 | 3B | 2542 |
3 | William Weeks | ON | Perth and District Collegiate Institute | 2025 | RHP | 2306 |
4 | Matthew Clarke | ON | Mowat Collegiate | 2025 | LHP | 2215 |
5 | Humza Ajmal | ON | Bill Hogarth | 2027 | 3B | 2115 |
INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | IVB (avg) |
1 | Cooper Watson | ON | St. Aloysius Gonzaga | 2027 | 3B | 8.0 in |
2 | Rohan Persad | ON | Harbord Collegiate Institute | 2027 | SS | -7.7 in |
3 | Humza Ajmal | ON | Bill Hogarth | 2027 | 3B | -4.3 in |
4 | Elijah Smith | ON | banting memorial hs | 2028 | OF | 3.7 in |
5 | William Weeks | ON | Perth and District Collegiate Institute | 2025 | RHP | 3.6 in |
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
1 | Rohan Persad | ON | Harbord Collegiate Institute | 2027 | SS | -18.3 |
2 | Humza Ajmal | ON | Bill Hogarth | 2027 | 3B | -17.3 |
3 | William Weeks | ON | Perth and District Collegiate Institute | 2025 | RHP | -16.2 |
4 | Matthew Clarke | ON | Mowat Collegiate | 2025 | LHP | 10.2 |
5 | Cooper Watson | ON | St. Aloysius Gonzaga | 2027 | 3B | -8.1 |
STRIKE ZONE %
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
1 | Harutaro Masani | ON | York Mills College | 2026 | RHP | 100 % |
^ | Elijah Smith | ON | banting memorial hs | 2028 | OF | 100 % |
2 | Alessandro Zayas | ON | cardinal carter catholic | 2027 | 3B | 75 % |
3 | William Weeks | ON | Perth and District Collegiate Institute | 2025 | RHP | 50 % |
^ | Humza Ajmal | ON | Bill Hogarth | 2027 | 3B | 50 % |
^ | Cooper Watson | ON | St. Aloysius Gonzaga | 2027 | 3B | 50 % |
CHANGEUP
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
1 | Cooper Watson | ON | St. Aloysius Gonzaga | 2027 | 3B | 16.0 |
2 | Major MacNeil | ON | Nottawasaga Pines | 2028 | RHP | 14.8 |
3 | Kaeden Cabral | ON | St. Martin Secondary School | 2027 | 3B | 13.8 |
4 | Elijah Smith | ON | banting memorial hs | 2028 | OF | 12.8 |
5 | Ben Stockert | ON | Not list | 2026 | RHP | 12.7 |
STRIKE ZONE RATE%
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
1 | Cooper Watson | ON | St. Aloysius Gonzaga | 2027 | 3B | 75 % |
2 | Spencer MacLellan | ON | Barrie North Collegiate | 2026 | RHP | 66 % |
^ | James Bader | ON | Loyola Catholic | 2027 | OF | 66 % |
^ | Rohan Persad | ON | Harbord Collegiate Institute | 2027 | SS | 66 % |
3 | Willem Pavey | ON | Maple Ridge | 2027 | RHP | 50 % |
^ | Zavier Zografos | ON | St. Augustine Catholic High School | 2025 | SS | 50 % |
^ | Taite Crawford | ON | Bayside Secondary School | 2027 | RHP | 50 % |
Upcoming Events
Showcase | State | Date | Location |
2024 Freshman Free Showcase | ON | 10/08 | Dan Lang Field, University of Toronto |
2024 Going Yard Academy Scout Day | ON | 10/19 | Gordie Howe Sports Complex |
2025 Canadian College & University Showcase | ON | 02/08 | The Yard Athletic Centre |
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