Prep Baseball Report

Toronto Fall ID: Pitching Data Dive


Cam Black-Araujo
Assistant Director, Canada

On Tuesday, October 1st, the Prep Baseball Ontario staff hosted the annual Toronto Fall ID at the Connorvale Park in Toronto, Ontario. This event featured 35+ players in 2025 - 2028 classes and allowed our staff an opportunity to get an in-depth look at the players, as well as collect updated metrics via our tech partner TrackMan. The Toronto Fall ID serves as the final chance each year for players to updated their profiles before heading indoors for the winter.

Earlier this week, we broke down the top measurable data performers from the event with our Statistical Analysis article. Now, we will take a further in-depth look at the top pitchers with the help of our tech partnerships, broken down by the categories down below:

For complete event results, click here.
To view upcoming event schedule, click here.

FASTBALL

MAX VELOCITY (MPH)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Velocity (max)
1 Tanner Wiens ON A.N. Myer 2027 RHP 85.0 mph
2 Elijah Smith ON banting memorial hs 2028 OF 83.9 mph
3 Matthew Clarke ON Mowat Collegiate 2025 LHP 81.1 mph
4 Cooper Watson ON St. Aloysius Gonzaga 2027 3B 80.6 mph
5 Harutaro Masani ON York Mills College 2026 RHP 80.2 mph

Max Fastball Velocity: This metric calculates the speed of the pitch as it’s released from the pitcher’s hand.

SPIN RATE (AVG)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Alessandro Zayas ON cardinal carter catholic 2027 3B 2337 rpm
2 Humza Ajmal ON Bill Hogarth 2027 3B 2336 rpm
3 Tanner Wiens ON A.N. Myer 2027 RHP 2256 rpm
4 Matthew Clarke ON Mowat Collegiate 2025 LHP 2224 rpm
5 Ben Stockert ON Not list 2026 RHP 2172 rpm

Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Matthew Clarke ON Mowat Collegiate 2025 LHP 21.2 in
2 Cooper Hershenhorn ON Leaside 2027 OF 18.9 in
3 Zavier Zografos ON St. Augustine Catholic High School 2025 SS 18.0 in
4 Spencer MacLellan ON Barrie North Collegiate 2026 RHP 17.3 in
5 Elijah Smith ON banting memorial hs 2028 OF 17.0 in

Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiency. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of the vertical approach angle.

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Cooper Watson ON St. Aloysius Gonzaga 2027 3B 16.3
2 Ben Stockert ON Not list 2026 RHP 11.6
3 Major MacNeil ON Nottawasaga Pines 2028 RHP 11.6
4 Kaeden Cabral ON St. Martin Secondary School 2027 3B 10.3
5 Elijah Smith ON banting memorial hs 2028 OF 10.2

Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”

STRIKE ZONE %

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Tanner Wiens ON A.N. Myer 2027 RHP 72 %
2 Kaeden Cabral ON St. Martin Secondary School 2027 3B 71 %
3 Alessandro Zayas ON cardinal carter catholic 2027 3B 66 %
^ Willem Pavey ON Maple Ridge 2027 RHP 66 %
4 Matthew Clarke ON Mowat Collegiate 2025 LHP 62 %

CURVEBALL

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 William Weeks ON Perth and District Collegiate Institute 2025 RHP 2513 rpm
2 Alessandro Zayas ON cardinal carter catholic 2027 3B 2450 rpm
3 James Bader ON Loyola Catholic 2027 OF 2293 rpm
4 Matthew Clarke ON Mowat Collegiate 2025 LHP 2274 rpm
5 Major MacNeil ON Nottawasaga Pines 2028 RHP 2200 rpm

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Alessandro Zayas ON cardinal carter catholic 2027 3B -14.5 in
2 William Weeks ON Perth and District Collegiate Institute 2025 RHP -13.4 in
3 Yuya Nakamura ON Earl Haig 2026 RHP -10.6 in
4 James Bader ON Loyola Catholic 2027 OF -8.3 in
5 Zavier Zografos ON St. Augustine Catholic High School 2025 SS -7.0 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 William Weeks ON Perth and District Collegiate Institute 2025 RHP -17.8
2 James Bader ON Loyola Catholic 2027 OF -15.7
3 Major MacNeil ON Nottawasaga Pines 2028 RHP -13.7
4 Zavier Zografos ON St. Augustine Catholic High School 2025 SS -13.0
5 Humza Ajmal ON Bill Hogarth 2027 3B -12.7

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Kaeden Cabral ON St. Martin Secondary School 2027 3B 100 %
^ Major MacNeil ON Nottawasaga Pines 2028 RHP 100 %
^ Elijah Smith ON banting memorial hs 2028 OF 100 %
2 Alessandro Zayas ON cardinal carter catholic 2027 3B 75 %
^ Zavier Zografos ON St. Augustine Catholic High School 2025 SS 75 %

SLIDER

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Rohan Persad ON Harbord Collegiate Institute 2027 SS 2589
2 Alessandro Zayas ON cardinal carter catholic 2027 3B 2542
3 William Weeks ON Perth and District Collegiate Institute 2025 RHP 2306
4 Matthew Clarke ON Mowat Collegiate 2025 LHP 2215
5 Humza Ajmal ON Bill Hogarth 2027 3B 2115

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Cooper Watson ON St. Aloysius Gonzaga 2027 3B 8.0 in
2 Rohan Persad ON Harbord Collegiate Institute 2027 SS -7.7 in
3 Humza Ajmal ON Bill Hogarth 2027 3B -4.3 in
4 Elijah Smith ON banting memorial hs 2028 OF 3.7 in
5 William Weeks ON Perth and District Collegiate Institute 2025 RHP 3.6 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Rohan Persad ON Harbord Collegiate Institute 2027 SS -18.3
2 Humza Ajmal ON Bill Hogarth 2027 3B -17.3
3 William Weeks ON Perth and District Collegiate Institute 2025 RHP -16.2
4 Matthew Clarke ON Mowat Collegiate 2025 LHP 10.2
5 Cooper Watson ON St. Aloysius Gonzaga 2027 3B -8.1

STRIKE ZONE %

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Harutaro Masani ON York Mills College 2026 RHP 100 %
^ Elijah Smith ON banting memorial hs 2028 OF 100 %
2 Alessandro Zayas ON cardinal carter catholic 2027 3B 75 %
3 William Weeks ON Perth and District Collegiate Institute 2025 RHP 50 %
^ Humza Ajmal ON Bill Hogarth 2027 3B 50 %
^ Cooper Watson ON St. Aloysius Gonzaga 2027 3B 50 %

CHANGEUP

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Cooper Watson ON St. Aloysius Gonzaga 2027 3B 16.0
2 Major MacNeil ON Nottawasaga Pines 2028 RHP 14.8
3 Kaeden Cabral ON St. Martin Secondary School 2027 3B 13.8
4 Elijah Smith ON banting memorial hs 2028 OF 12.8
5 Ben Stockert ON Not list 2026 RHP 12.7

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Cooper Watson ON St. Aloysius Gonzaga 2027 3B 75 %
2 Spencer MacLellan ON Barrie North Collegiate 2026 RHP 66 %
^ James Bader ON Loyola Catholic 2027 OF 66 %
^ Rohan Persad ON Harbord Collegiate Institute 2027 SS 66 %
3 Willem Pavey ON Maple Ridge 2027 RHP 50 %
^ Zavier Zografos ON St. Augustine Catholic High School 2025 SS 50 %
^ Taite Crawford ON Bayside Secondary School 2027 RHP 50 %

Upcoming Events

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