Prep Baseball Report

St. Louis Fall ID: Pitching Data Dive


By: Kevin Cronin
Illinois & Wisconsin Data Coordinator, Area Scout

On Oct. 8th, Prep Baseball Illinois hosted the St. Louis Fall ID at the Sports Barn complex in Wood River, Ill. 20 players participated in a pro-style workout, gathering unrivaled access to data through our state-of-the-art tech partners, as well as in-depth scouting analysis from our Prep Baseball Illinois staff.

Yesterday, we looked at the top measurable data performers from the event, found in our Statistical Analysis, where we broke down the stat leaders from the more traditional categories. Later in the week, we will release our Takeaways from the event, highlighting some of the event's top prospects.

Today, we will take a further in-depth look at the top pitchers with the help of our tech partnerships, broken down by the categories down below:

TRACKMAN

FASTBALL

VELOCITY (MAX)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Velocity (max)
1 Brody Simily MO West County 2027 SS 89.4 mph
2 Mick Niebrugge IL Teutopolis 2025 1B 88.5 mph
3 Hunter Fryman MO Marshfield 2026 SS 84.9 mph

Max Fastball Velocity: This metric calculates the speed of the pitch as it’s released from the pitcher’s hand.

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Brody Simily MO West County 2027 SS 2427 rpm
2 Mathew Crownhart IL Homeschool (IL) 2027 LHP 2320 rpm
3 Mick Niebrugge IL Teutopolis 2025 1B 2268 rpm

Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Aaron Gibson MO Parkway North 2026 1B 21.3 in
2 Brody Simily MO West County 2027 SS 17.1 in
3 Wyatt Stephens MO Francis Howell 2028 2B 16.3 in
4 Mick Niebrugge IL Teutopolis 2025 1B 15.8 in
5 Hunter Fryman MO Marshfield 2026 SS 12.6 in

Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiency. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of the vertical approach angle.

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Eli Doerr MO Francis Howell 2027 RHP 18.6
2 Hunter Fryman MO Marshfield 2026 SS 15.9
3 Blake Branstetter MO Westminster Christian 2025 OF 13.8
4 Mathew Crownhart IL Homeschool (IL) 2027 LHP -13.6
5 Brody Simily MO West County 2027 SS 12.1

Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Mick Niebrugge IL Teutopolis 2025 1B 50 %
2 Brody Simily MO West County 2027 SS 42 %

Average MLB pitchers throw 62% strikes, and better pitchers throw strikes 65% of the time, or roughly 2:1 strikes to balls.


CURVEBALL

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Brody Simily MO West County 2027 SS 2475 rpm
2 Mick Niebrugge IL Teutopolis 2025 1B 2330 rpm

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Wyatt Stephens MO Francis Howell 2028 2B -7.1 in
2 Brody Simily MO West County 2027 SS -6.8 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Brody Simily MO West County 2027 SS -17.2
2 Eli Doerr MO Francis Howell 2027 RHP -12.5

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Eli Doerr MO Francis Howell 2027 RHP 75 %
2 Brody Simily MO West County 2027 SS 50 %
^ Wyatt Stephens MO Francis Howell 2028 2B 50 %


SLIDER

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Brody Simily MO West County 2027 SS 2729
2 Hunter Fryman MO Marshfield 2026 SS 2312
3 Mathew Crownhart IL Homeschool (IL) 2027 LHP 2082

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Aaron Gibson MO Parkway North 2026 1B 10.1 in
2 Brody Simily MO West County 2027 SS -5.4 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Brody Simily MO West County 2027 SS -16.3
2 Wyatt Stephens MO Francis Howell 2028 2B -11.0

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Brody Simily MO West County 2027 SS 66 %
2 Hunter Fryman MO Marshfield 2026 SS 60 %


CHANGEUP

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Brody Simily MO West County 2027 SS 2003 rpm
2 Mathew Crownhart IL Homeschool (IL) 2027 LHP 1850 rpm

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Blake Branstetter MO Westminster Christian 2025 OF 11.7 in
2 Mathew Crownhart IL Homeschool (IL) 2027 LHP 11.2 in
3 Brody Simily MO West County 2027 SS 11.0 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Mathew Crownhart IL Homeschool (IL) 2027 LHP -16.1
2 Brody Simily MO West County 2027 SS 15.8
3 Eli Doerr MO Francis Howell 2027 RHP 15.3
4 Mick Niebrugge IL Teutopolis 2025 1B 14.5
5 Blake Branstetter MO Westminster Christian 2025 OF 14.2

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Mathew Crownhart IL Homeschool (IL) 2027 LHP 50 %
2 Brody Simily MO West County 2027 SS 25 %

+ CLICK HERE for a look at the complete statistics from the event.

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