Prep Baseball Report

Southern Illinois Summer ID: Pitching Data Dive


By: Illinois Scouting Staff

On July 2nd, the Prep Baseball Illinois staff hosted the Southern Illinois Summer ID at John A. Logan JC in Carterville, Ill. Over 20 players participated in a pro-style workout, gathering unrivaled access to data through our state-of-the-art tech partners, as well as in-depth scouting analysis from our Prep Baseball Illinois staff.

On Wednesday, we looked at the top measurable data performers from the event, found in our Statistical Analysis, where we broke down the stat leaders from the more traditional categories.

Now, we will take a further in-depth look at the top pitchers with the help of our tech partnerships, broken down by the categories down below:

TRACKMAN

FASTBALL

VELOCITY (MAX)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Velocity (max)
1 Brandon Menser IL Sesser Valier 2025 RHP 88.6 mph
2 Brock Fearday IL St. Anthony 2025 RHP 88.5 mph
3 Nathan Evans IL Murphysboro 2025 RHP 87.2 mph
4 Josh Jones IL Normal University 2026 RHP 86.8 mph
5 Alex Henry IL Marion 2026 RHP 84.3 mph

Max Fastball Velocity: This metric calculates the speed of the pitch as it’s released from the pitcher’s hand.

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Brandon Menser IL Sesser Valier 2025 RHP 2411 rpm
2 Lucas Dunn IL Nashville Community 2026 RHP 2351 rpm
3 Brock Fearday IL St. Anthony 2025 RHP 2199 rpm
4 Nathan Evans IL Murphysboro 2025 RHP 2139 rpm
5 Josh Jones IL Normal University 2026 RHP 2107 rpm

Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Brandon Menser IL Sesser Valier 2025 RHP 21.7 in
2 Lucas Dunn IL Nashville Community 2026 RHP 20.2 in
3 Trey Buchanan TX Lone Star 2028 RHP 17.3 in
4 Josh Jones IL Normal University 2026 RHP 16.5 in
5 Cohen Merrill IL Freeburg 2026 RHP 15.8 in

Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiency. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of the vertical approach angle.

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Xander Beals IL St. Anthony 2026 RHP 18.7
2 Josh Jones IL Normal University 2026 RHP 14.6
3 Jacob Cross IL Carbondale 2025 LHP -14.4
4 Brock Fearday IL St. Anthony 2025 RHP 14.1
5 Alex Henry IL Marion 2026 RHP 14.0

Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Nathan Evans IL Murphysboro 2025 RHP 66 %
^ Xander Beals IL St. Anthony 2026 RHP 66 %
2 Brandon Menser IL Sesser Valier 2025 RHP 50 %
^ Lucas Dunn IL Nashville Community 2026 RHP 50 %

Average MLB pitchers throw 62% strikes, and better pitchers throw strikes 65% of the time, or roughly 2:1 strikes to balls.


CURVEBALL

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Lucas Dunn IL Nashville Community 2026 RHP 2499 rpm
2 Nathan Evans IL Murphysboro 2025 RHP 2454 rpm
3 Brandon Menser IL Sesser Valier 2025 RHP 2409 rpm
4 Brock Fearday IL St. Anthony 2025 RHP 2245 rpm
5 Josh Jones IL Normal University 2026 RHP 2039 rpm

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Brock Fearday IL St. Anthony 2025 RHP -11.9 in
2 Brandon Menser IL Sesser Valier 2025 RHP -11.3 in
3 Alex Henry IL Marion 2026 RHP -10.7 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Nathan Evans IL Murphysboro 2025 RHP -17.1
2 Lucas Dunn IL Nashville Community 2026 RHP -16.5
3 Brock Fearday IL St. Anthony 2025 RHP -14.5
4 Xander Beals IL St. Anthony 2026 RHP -12.0
5 Alex Henry IL Marion 2026 RHP -12.0

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Brandon Menser IL Sesser Valier 2025 RHP 80 %
2 Jacob Cross IL Carbondale 2025 LHP 75 %
3 Nathan Evans IL Murphysboro 2025 RHP 60 %


SLIDER

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Lucas Dunn IL Nashville Community 2026 RHP 2345
2 Cohen Merrill IL Freeburg 2026 RHP 2196
3 Brock Fearday IL St. Anthony 2025 RHP 2151
4 Cayden Craig IL North Clay Community 2026 OF 2081
5 Xander Beals IL St. Anthony 2026 RHP 1986

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Trey Buchanan TX Lone Star 2028 RHP 9.8 in
2 Jacob Cross IL Carbondale 2025 LHP 7.1 in
3 Lucas Dunn IL Nashville Community 2026 RHP 5.5 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Cohen Merrill IL Freeburg 2026 RHP -14.7
2 Cayden Craig IL North Clay Community 2026 OF 8.3
3 Xander Beals IL St. Anthony 2026 RHP -7.9

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Alex Henry IL Marion 2026 RHP 80 %
2 Brock Fearday IL St. Anthony 2025 RHP 60 %


CHANGEUP

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Josh Jones IL Normal University 2026 RHP 2055 rpm
2 Brock Fearday IL St. Anthony 2025 RHP 1856 rpm
3 Xander Beals IL St. Anthony 2026 RHP 1710 rpm

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Brandon Menser IL Sesser Valier 2025 RHP 16.0 in
2 Ayden Murphy IL Marion 2026 RHP 15.8 in
3 Trey Buchanan TX Lone Star 2028 RHP 11.5 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Brock Fearday IL St. Anthony 2025 RHP 20.4
2 Xander Beals IL St. Anthony 2026 RHP 18.6
3 Lucas Dunn IL Nashville Community 2026 RHP 17.6

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Josh Jones IL Normal University 2026 RHP 80 %
2 Brock Fearday IL St. Anthony 2025 RHP 75 %

+ CLICK HERE for a look at the complete statistics from the event.

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