Prep Baseball Report

Northern Colorado Summer Open: Pitching Data Dive


Cam Black-Araujo
PBR Colorado Operations

On Tuesday, June 27th, the PBR Colorado staff hosted the Northern Colorado Summer Open at Fossil Ridge High School in Fort Collins, Colorado. This event featured roughly 40 uncommitted prospects from the 2024 - 2027 classes and allowed our staff an opportunity to get an in-depth look at the players in attendance.

 Earlier this week, we broke down the top measurable data performers from the event with our Statistical Analysis. Now, we will take a further in-depth look at the top pitchers with the help of our tech partnerships, broken down by the categories down below:

For complete event results, click here.
To view upcoming event schedule, click here.

FASTBALL

MAX VELOCITY (MPH)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Velocity (max)
1 Wyatt Gustafson CO Windsor 2026 RHP 82.0 mph
2 Kaeden Kettle CO Berthoud 2024 C 81.6 mph
3 Jack Sansone CO Roosevelt 2027 RHP 81.4 mph
4 Cade Filleman CO Regis Jesuit 2027 OF 81.2 mph
5 Lucas Stone CO Eaton 2024 OF 81.2 mph
6 Scott Thompson CO University 2024 OF 80.8 mph
7 Lucas Ryan CO Fossil Ridge 2024 OF 80.5 mph
8 Deegan Corrigan CO Resurrection Christian 2024 1B 80.1 mph
9 Riley Honick CO Rocky Mountain 2026 3B 80.0 mph
10 Ian Alexander CO Columbine 2025 RHP 79.3 mph

Max Fastball Velocity: This metric calculates the speed of the pitch as it’s released from the pitcher’s hand.

SPIN RATE (AVG)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Lucas Ryan CO Fossil Ridge 2024 OF 2297 rpm
2 Scott Thompson CO University 2024 OF 2187 rpm
3 Lucas Stone CO Eaton 2024 OF 2179 rpm
4 Jack Sansone CO Roosevelt 2027 RHP 2144 rpm
5 Austin Edelmon CO Eaton High School 2026 RHP 2141 rpm

Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Scott Thompson CO University 2024 OF 16.2 in
2 Ian Alexander CO Columbine 2025 RHP 15.0 in
3 Wyatt Gustafson CO Windsor 2026 RHP 14.3 in
4 Kaeden Kettle CO Berthoud 2024 C 14.0 in
5 Porter Park CO Fort Collins 2026 LHP 13.8 in

Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiency. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of the vertical approach angle.

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Lucas Stone CO Eaton 2024 OF -11.8
2 Porter Park CO Fort Collins 2026 LHP -10.2
3 Westin Cheever CO Loveland 2026 RHP 9.8
4 Wyatt Gustafson CO Windsor 2026 RHP 7.0
5 Dutch VanDale CO Holy Family 2025 RHP 6.5

Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

CURVEBALL

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Shane Welle CO Eaton High School 2026 RHP 2191 rpm
2 Kaeden Kettle CO Berthoud 2024 C 2163 rpm
3 Deegan Corrigan CO Resurrection Christian 2024 1B 2127 rpm
4 Scott Thompson CO University 2024 OF 2117 rpm
5 Justin Steinbeck CO Regis Jesuit 2025 OF 2078 rpm

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Kaeden Kettle CO Berthoud 2024 C -11.9 in
2 Cade Filleman CO Regis Jesuit 2027 OF -8.3 in
3 Ian Alexander CO Columbine 2025 RHP -7.8 in
4 Lucas Stone CO Eaton 2024 OF -6.7 in
5 Jack Sansone CO Roosevelt 2027 RHP 6.2 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Jace Perry CO Eaglecrest High School 2026 1B -10.7
2 Kaeden Kettle CO Berthoud 2024 C -9.5
3 Ian Alexander CO Columbine 2025 RHP -8.8
4 Austin Edelmon CO Eaton High School 2026 RHP -8.6
5 Shane Welle CO Eaton High School 2026 RHP -8.3

STRIKE ZONE %

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Dutch VanDale CO Holy Family 2025 RHP 100 %
^ Kaeden Kettle CO Berthoud 2024 C 100 %
^ Austin Edelmon CO Eaton High School 2026 RHP 100 %
2 Shane Welle CO Eaton High School 2026 RHP 75 %
3 Scott Thompson CO University 2024 OF 66 %
^ Riley Honick CO Rocky Mountain 2026 3B 66 %

SLIDER

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Wyatt Gustafson CO Windsor 2026 RHP 2383
2 Lucas Ryan CO Fossil Ridge 2024 OF 2308
3 Shane Welle CO Eaton High School 2026 RHP 2292
4 Deegan Corrigan CO Resurrection Christian 2024 1B 2215
5 Kaeden Kettle CO Berthoud 2024 C 2177

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Kaeden Kettle CO Berthoud 2024 C -8.1 in
2 Wyatt Gustafson CO Windsor 2026 RHP -2.8 in
3 Lucas Ryan CO Fossil Ridge 2024 OF -2.6 in
4 Jacob Lawson CO Northfield 2026 3B 1.7 in
5 Deegan Corrigan CO Resurrection Christian 2024 1B 1.4 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Lucas Ryan CO Fossil Ridge 2024 OF -15.2
2 Jace Perry CO Eaglecrest High School 2026 1B -8.9
3 Shane Welle CO Eaton High School 2026 RHP -8.4
4 Wyatt Gustafson CO Windsor 2026 RHP -7.1
5 Kaeden Kettle CO Berthoud 2024 C -6.0

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Shane Welle CO Eaton High School 2026 RHP 100 %
2 Wyatt Gustafson CO Windsor 2026 RHP 75 %
3 Jacob Lawson CO Northfield 2026 3B 50 %

CHANGEUP

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Lucas Stone CO Eaton 2024 OF -15.2
2 Justin Steinbeck CO Regis Jesuit 2025 OF -13.5
3 Lucas Ryan CO Fossil Ridge 2024 OF 12.5
4 Porter Park CO Fort Collins 2026 LHP -9.5
5 Westin Cheever CO Loveland 2026 RHP 7.1

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Kaeden Kettle CO Berthoud 2024 C 100 %
^ Riley Honick CO Rocky Mountain 2026 3B 100 %
2 Lucas Ryan CO Fossil Ridge 2024 OF 50 %
^ Jacob Lawson CO Northfield 2026 3B 50 %
^ Westin Cheever CO Loveland 2026 RHP 50 %
^ Scott Thompson CO University 2024 OF 50 %
3 Lucas Stone CO Eaton 2024 OF 33 %
^ Jace Perry CO Eaglecrest High School 2026 1B 33 %

UPCOMING EVENTS

SHOWCASE STATE DATE LOCATION
Western Slope Open CO 07/11 Colorado Mesa University - Grand Junction, CO
Pueblo Summer Open CO 07/18 Colorado State University Pueblo - Pueblo, CO
PBR Junior Future Games NATIONAL 07/25 LakePoint
2023 PBR Future Games (Colorado Invite) CO 07/26 LakePoint Sports - Cartersville, GA
2023 PBR West Coast Games CO 08/04 UNLV & College of Southern Nevada
Colorado State Games (Invite-Only) CO 08/08 Regency Athletic Complex at Metro State University (Denver)


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