Northern Colorado Summer Open: Pitching Data Dive
July 1, 2023
On Tuesday, June 27th, the PBR Colorado staff hosted the Northern Colorado Summer Open at Fossil Ridge High School in Fort Collins, Colorado. This event featured roughly 40 uncommitted prospects from the 2024 - 2027 classes and allowed our staff an opportunity to get an in-depth look at the players in attendance.
Earlier this week, we broke down the top measurable data performers from the event with our Statistical Analysis. Now, we will take a further in-depth look at the top pitchers with the help of our tech partnerships, broken down by the categories down below:
For complete event results, click here.
To view upcoming event schedule, click here.
FASTBALL
MAX VELOCITY (MPH)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Velocity (max) |
1 | Wyatt Gustafson | CO | Windsor | 2026 | RHP | 82.0 mph |
2 | Kaeden Kettle | CO | Berthoud | 2024 | C | 81.6 mph |
3 | Jack Sansone | CO | Roosevelt | 2027 | RHP | 81.4 mph |
4 | Cade Filleman | CO | Regis Jesuit | 2027 | OF | 81.2 mph |
5 | Lucas Stone | CO | Eaton | 2024 | OF | 81.2 mph |
6 | Scott Thompson | CO | University | 2024 | OF | 80.8 mph |
7 | Lucas Ryan | CO | Fossil Ridge | 2024 | OF | 80.5 mph |
8 | Deegan Corrigan | CO | Resurrection Christian | 2024 | 1B | 80.1 mph |
9 | Riley Honick | CO | Rocky Mountain | 2026 | 3B | 80.0 mph |
10 | Ian Alexander | CO | Columbine | 2025 | RHP | 79.3 mph |
Max Fastball Velocity: This metric calculates the speed of the pitch as it’s released from the pitcher’s hand.
SPIN RATE (AVG)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Spin Rate (avg) |
1 | Lucas Ryan | CO | Fossil Ridge | 2024 | OF | 2297 rpm |
2 | Scott Thompson | CO | University | 2024 | OF | 2187 rpm |
3 | Lucas Stone | CO | Eaton | 2024 | OF | 2179 rpm |
4 | Jack Sansone | CO | Roosevelt | 2027 | RHP | 2144 rpm |
5 | Austin Edelmon | CO | Eaton High School | 2026 | RHP | 2141 rpm |
Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.
INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | IVB (avg) |
1 | Scott Thompson | CO | University | 2024 | OF | 16.2 in |
2 | Ian Alexander | CO | Columbine | 2025 | RHP | 15.0 in |
3 | Wyatt Gustafson | CO | Windsor | 2026 | RHP | 14.3 in |
4 | Kaeden Kettle | CO | Berthoud | 2024 | C | 14.0 in |
5 | Porter Park | CO | Fort Collins | 2026 | LHP | 13.8 in |
Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiency. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of the vertical approach angle.
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
1 | Lucas Stone | CO | Eaton | 2024 | OF | -11.8 |
2 | Porter Park | CO | Fort Collins | 2026 | LHP | -10.2 |
3 | Westin Cheever | CO | Loveland | 2026 | RHP | 9.8 |
4 | Wyatt Gustafson | CO | Windsor | 2026 | RHP | 7.0 |
5 | Dutch VanDale | CO | Holy Family | 2025 | RHP | 6.5 |
Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”
STRIKE ZONE RATE%
CURVEBALL
SPIN RATE (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Spin Rate (avg) |
1 | Shane Welle | CO | Eaton High School | 2026 | RHP | 2191 rpm |
2 | Kaeden Kettle | CO | Berthoud | 2024 | C | 2163 rpm |
3 | Deegan Corrigan | CO | Resurrection Christian | 2024 | 1B | 2127 rpm |
4 | Scott Thompson | CO | University | 2024 | OF | 2117 rpm |
5 | Justin Steinbeck | CO | Regis Jesuit | 2025 | OF | 2078 rpm |
INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | IVB (avg) |
1 | Kaeden Kettle | CO | Berthoud | 2024 | C | -11.9 in |
2 | Cade Filleman | CO | Regis Jesuit | 2027 | OF | -8.3 in |
3 | Ian Alexander | CO | Columbine | 2025 | RHP | -7.8 in |
4 | Lucas Stone | CO | Eaton | 2024 | OF | -6.7 in |
5 | Jack Sansone | CO | Roosevelt | 2027 | RHP | 6.2 in |
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
1 | Jace Perry | CO | Eaglecrest High School | 2026 | 1B | -10.7 |
2 | Kaeden Kettle | CO | Berthoud | 2024 | C | -9.5 |
3 | Ian Alexander | CO | Columbine | 2025 | RHP | -8.8 |
4 | Austin Edelmon | CO | Eaton High School | 2026 | RHP | -8.6 |
5 | Shane Welle | CO | Eaton High School | 2026 | RHP | -8.3 |
STRIKE ZONE %
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
1 | Dutch VanDale | CO | Holy Family | 2025 | RHP | 100 % |
^ | Kaeden Kettle | CO | Berthoud | 2024 | C | 100 % |
^ | Austin Edelmon | CO | Eaton High School | 2026 | RHP | 100 % |
2 | Shane Welle | CO | Eaton High School | 2026 | RHP | 75 % |
3 | Scott Thompson | CO | University | 2024 | OF | 66 % |
^ | Riley Honick | CO | Rocky Mountain | 2026 | 3B | 66 % |
SLIDER
SPIN RATE (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Spin Rate (avg) |
1 | Wyatt Gustafson | CO | Windsor | 2026 | RHP | 2383 |
2 | Lucas Ryan | CO | Fossil Ridge | 2024 | OF | 2308 |
3 | Shane Welle | CO | Eaton High School | 2026 | RHP | 2292 |
4 | Deegan Corrigan | CO | Resurrection Christian | 2024 | 1B | 2215 |
5 | Kaeden Kettle | CO | Berthoud | 2024 | C | 2177 |
INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | IVB (avg) |
1 | Kaeden Kettle | CO | Berthoud | 2024 | C | -8.1 in |
2 | Wyatt Gustafson | CO | Windsor | 2026 | RHP | -2.8 in |
3 | Lucas Ryan | CO | Fossil Ridge | 2024 | OF | -2.6 in |
4 | Jacob Lawson | CO | Northfield | 2026 | 3B | 1.7 in |
5 | Deegan Corrigan | CO | Resurrection Christian | 2024 | 1B | 1.4 in |
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
1 | Lucas Ryan | CO | Fossil Ridge | 2024 | OF | -15.2 |
2 | Jace Perry | CO | Eaglecrest High School | 2026 | 1B | -8.9 |
3 | Shane Welle | CO | Eaton High School | 2026 | RHP | -8.4 |
4 | Wyatt Gustafson | CO | Windsor | 2026 | RHP | -7.1 |
5 | Kaeden Kettle | CO | Berthoud | 2024 | C | -6.0 |
STRIKE ZONE RATE%
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
1 | Shane Welle | CO | Eaton High School | 2026 | RHP | 100 % |
2 | Wyatt Gustafson | CO | Windsor | 2026 | RHP | 75 % |
3 | Jacob Lawson | CO | Northfield | 2026 | 3B | 50 % |
CHANGEUP
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
1 | Lucas Stone | CO | Eaton | 2024 | OF | -15.2 |
2 | Justin Steinbeck | CO | Regis Jesuit | 2025 | OF | -13.5 |
3 | Lucas Ryan | CO | Fossil Ridge | 2024 | OF | 12.5 |
4 | Porter Park | CO | Fort Collins | 2026 | LHP | -9.5 |
5 | Westin Cheever | CO | Loveland | 2026 | RHP | 7.1 |
STRIKE ZONE RATE%
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
1 | Kaeden Kettle | CO | Berthoud | 2024 | C | 100 % |
^ | Riley Honick | CO | Rocky Mountain | 2026 | 3B | 100 % |
2 | Lucas Ryan | CO | Fossil Ridge | 2024 | OF | 50 % |
^ | Jacob Lawson | CO | Northfield | 2026 | 3B | 50 % |
^ | Westin Cheever | CO | Loveland | 2026 | RHP | 50 % |
^ | Scott Thompson | CO | University | 2024 | OF | 50 % |
3 | Lucas Stone | CO | Eaton | 2024 | OF | 33 % |
^ | Jace Perry | CO | Eaglecrest High School | 2026 | 1B | 33 % |
UPCOMING EVENTS
SHOWCASE | STATE | DATE | LOCATION |
Western Slope Open | CO | 07/11 | Colorado Mesa University - Grand Junction, CO |
Pueblo Summer Open | CO | 07/18 | Colorado State University Pueblo - Pueblo, CO |
PBR Junior Future Games | NATIONAL | 07/25 | LakePoint |
2023 PBR Future Games (Colorado Invite) | CO | 07/26 | LakePoint Sports - Cartersville, GA |
2023 PBR West Coast Games | CO | 08/04 | UNLV & College of Southern Nevada |
Colorado State Games (Invite-Only) | CO | 08/08 | Regency Athletic Complex at Metro State University (Denver) |