Prep Baseball Report

Lower Mainland Fall ID: Pitching Data Dive


Cam Black-Araujo
Assistant Director, Canada

On Friday, October 11th, the Prep Baseball British Columbia staff hosted it's first of two Fall ID's with the Lower Mainland Fall ID at Whalley Stadium in Surrey, British Columbia. This event featured roughly 22 prospects from the Lower Mainland in the 2025 - 2028 classes and allowed our staff an opportunity to get an in-depth look at the players, as well as collect updated metrics via our tech partner TrackMan. Fall ID's allow players one final chance to update their metrics and profile before the winter season.

Earlier this week we began our post-event coverage within our Statistical Analysis article. Today we'll take a deeper dive into all of the data we collected from the event within this article as we provide leaderboards on each metric collected on TrackMan during bullpens at the event.

For complete event results, click here.
To view upcoming event schedule, click here.

FASTBALL

MAX VELOCITY (MPH)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Velocity (max)
1 Linden Happell BC Maple Ridge 2025 RHP 86.3 mph
2 Henry Pednaud BC Chatelech Secondary Sechelt 2027 RHP 83.6 mph
3 Brydon White BC Lord Tweedsmuir 2027 C 82.7 mph
4 Nathaniel Miranda BC White Rock Christian Academy 2026 3B 81.7 mph
5 Liam Smith BC not listed 2025 1B 80.4 mph
6 Ethan Gray BC Lord Tweedsmuir 2028 RHP 79.3 mph
7 Isaac Rusch BC St. George’s 2026 RHP 79.2 mph
8 Dominik Lakusta BC Johnston Heights Secondary School 2026 LHP 78.5 mph

Max Fastball Velocity: This metric calculates the speed of the pitch as it’s released from the pitcher’s hand.

SPIN RATE (AVG)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Linden Happell BC Maple Ridge 2025 RHP 2464 rpm
2 Henry Pednaud BC Chatelech Secondary Sechelt 2027 RHP 2172 rpm
3 Jonathan Slogocki BC Holy Cross Regional 2027 RHP 2090 rpm
4 Jonah Murray BC Yale Secondary 2028 3B 2040 rpm
5 Andrew Suttie BC GW Graham Secondary School 2026 LHP 1995 rpm

Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Jonathan Slogocki BC Holy Cross Regional 2027 RHP 22.1 in
2 Andrew Suttie BC GW Graham Secondary School 2026 LHP 22.0 in
3 Dominik Lakusta BC Johnston Heights Secondary School 2026 LHP 20.6 in
4 Jonah Murray BC Yale Secondary 2028 3B 20.4 in
5 Matthew Crock BC Windsor Secondary 2028 LHP 19.2 in

Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiency. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of the vertical approach angle.

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Liam Smith BC not listed 2025 1B -14.6
2 Linden Happell BC Maple Ridge 2025 RHP 14.2
3 Jonah Murray BC Yale Secondary 2028 3B 12.4
4 Ethan Gray BC Lord Tweedsmuir 2028 RHP 12.1
5 Dominik Lakusta BC Johnston Heights Secondary School 2026 LHP -11.6

Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Liam Smith BC not listed 2025 1B 77 %
2 Nathaniel Miranda BC White Rock Christian Academy 2026 3B 58 %
3 Henry Pednaud BC Chatelech Secondary Sechelt 2027 RHP 55 %
4 Justyce Dahling BC Dover High School 2026 RHP 54 %
5 Dominik Lakusta BC Johnston Heights Secondary School 2026 LHP 50 %
^ Isaac Rusch BC St. George’s 2026 RHP 50 %

CURVEBALL

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Ethan Gray BC Lord Tweedsmuir 2028 RHP 2551 rpm
2 Jonah Murray BC Yale Secondary 2028 3B 2317 rpm
3 Nathaniel Miranda BC White Rock Christian Academy 2026 3B 2263 rpm
4 Andrew Suttie BC GW Graham Secondary School 2026 LHP 2116 rpm
5 Isaac Rusch BC St. George’s 2026 RHP 2055 rpm

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Ethan Gray BC Lord Tweedsmuir 2028 RHP -8.9 in
2 Andrew Suttie BC GW Graham Secondary School 2026 LHP 7.6 in
3 Brydon White BC Lord Tweedsmuir 2027 C -6.7 in
4 Jonathan Slogocki BC Holy Cross Regional 2027 RHP -6.5 in
5 Isaac Rusch BC St. George’s 2026 RHP 2.7 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Jonathan Slogocki BC Holy Cross Regional 2027 RHP -14.2
2 Ethan Gray BC Lord Tweedsmuir 2028 RHP -13.3
3 Jonah Murray BC Yale Secondary 2028 3B -11.2
4 Nathaniel Miranda BC White Rock Christian Academy 2026 3B -8.4
5 Dominik Lakusta BC Johnston Heights Secondary School 2026 LHP 5.7

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Andrew Suttie BC GW Graham Secondary School 2026 LHP 66 %
2 Brydon White BC Lord Tweedsmuir 2027 C 50 %
^ Justyce Dahling BC Dover High School 2026 RHP 50 %

SLIDER

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Linden Happell BC Maple Ridge 2025 RHP 3166
2 Nathaniel Miranda BC White Rock Christian Academy 2026 3B 2318
3 Henry Pednaud BC Chatelech Secondary Sechelt 2027 RHP 2232
4 Liam Smith BC not listed 2025 1B 2017
5 Matthew Crock BC Windsor Secondary 2028 LHP 1885

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Matthew Crock BC Windsor Secondary 2028 LHP 6.2 in
2 Henry Pednaud BC Chatelech Secondary Sechelt 2027 RHP -4.8 in
3 Linden Happell BC Maple Ridge 2025 RHP -1.9 in
4 Nathaniel Miranda BC White Rock Christian Academy 2026 3B 0.9 in
5 Liam Smith BC not listed 2025 1B 0.2 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Linden Happell BC Maple Ridge 2025 RHP -23.3
2 Nathaniel Miranda BC White Rock Christian Academy 2026 3B -10.6
3 Henry Pednaud BC Chatelech Secondary Sechelt 2027 RHP -9.0
4 Liam Smith BC not listed 2025 1B 8.8
5 Matthew Crock BC Windsor Secondary 2028 LHP 7.3

STRIKE ZONE %

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Matthew Crock BC Windsor Secondary 2028 LHP 71 %
2 Nathaniel Miranda BC White Rock Christian Academy 2026 3B 66 %

CHANGEUP

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Linden Happell BC Maple Ridge 2025 RHP 20.5
2 Liam Smith BC not listed 2025 1B -18.8
3 Jonah Murray BC Yale Secondary 2028 3B 16.0
4 Isaac Rusch BC St. George’s 2026 RHP 15.6
5 Dominik Lakusta BC Johnston Heights Secondary School 2026 LHP -15.1

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Jonathan Slogocki BC Holy Cross Regional 2027 RHP 100 %
2 Andrew Suttie BC GW Graham Secondary School 2026 LHP 75 %
3 Dominik Lakusta BC Johnston Heights Secondary School 2026 LHP 71 %
4 Nathaniel Miranda BC White Rock Christian Academy 2026 3B 50 %
^ Linden Happell BC Maple Ridge 2025 RHP 50 %

UPCOMING EVENTS

Showcase State Date Location
2024 Victoria Eagles/Victoria Mariners Scout Day BC 10/26 Island Training Centre
2024 Holiday Hitters Series - North Vancouver BC 12/21 Inside Performance

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